Introduction to Epidemiology Flashcards
What is the definition of epidemiology?
Epi= about
Demos= people of districts
Logos= study of
A study of the distribution and determinants of disease in population
40,000 BC population?
2 million
10 species of human
Describe the epidemiological method
- Defining the disease
- Counting the frequency of disease in the population (e.g. incidence, prevalence)- can be sample
- Describing the occurrence of disease in a population (e.g. in time, space, age, sex)
- Comparing the disease occurrence between two different sub-populations
What are the types of study designs?
- Cohort Study (Prospective, Longitudinal)
- Controlled Trial- sub type of cohort study (randomised, double blind)
- Case Control Study (Retrospective), explorative purpose initially as cheap and quick
- Cross-Sectional Study (Prevalence)- poorest design to see relationships, useful to measure burden
Describe a cohort study
Prospective, longitudinal
Present to extend into future
Need to prove relative risk >1
Establish if risk factors have effect on disease
-Sample those with and without risk factor, follow for a long time
Calculate absolute risk (incidence) or relative risk (divide absolute in exposed by not exposed)
Describe Randomised Controlled Trial
Better than cohort
Randomise sample e.g. in smokers group some quit smoking and some dont
-Same distribution of other risk factors
-Makes the only variable the risk factor of interest
Describe case-control study
Retrospective
Start now, look back
Disease and people who do not have disease
Look at history of exposure
Hospital= biased, all have some disease
No period of time
Can only estimate absolute risk through odds ratio
Describe cross-sectional study
Prevalence Dangerous -Death, reverse causality (changed behaviour) No inferences Present time
What is statistics?
Plural= tabulated numerical information Singular= a discipline- the art/ science of handling uncertainty
How is hypothesis used in statistics?
Incorrect until proven correct beyond reasonable doubt
Proven by rejecting the null-hypothesis (rejected only when it becomes too implausible)
Why are stringent P-values and large samples required?
It is more dangerous to take science down the incorrect
path and waste resources, than it is to reject the correct
path until there is more conclusive (and better quality)
evidence
What is hypothesis-free science?
Measure so precisely so that it can be computed
- DNA Genome
- e.g. uric acid= which gene controls this? Screen, read
What makes technology-driven, hypothesis-free research so appealing?
- Free of human bias/ opinion
- Human errors minimised
- Does not depend on previous human knowledge
- Results not false positive/ questionable
- Extremely accurate measurements