Intertemporal choice Flashcards
Relates to decisions involving..?
Trade-offs between costs and benefits occurring in different time periods
Discounted utility
The utility of a future event as perceived at the present time, not the time of its occurrence
Discounted utility model
Combines all the physiological factors involved in time preference into a single parameter of the discount rate
Incorporates the general axioms of the standard model
Imposes a constant discount rate
Preference for improving sequences with example
Preference for improving sequences goes against DUM prediction, which discounts later outcomes more heavily
Model lacks descriptive and normative validity
eg. Workers prefer increasing wage profiles (Loewenstein, 1991)
A front-end delay is used to control for confound between…
Pure time preference effects and future transaction costs
Hyperbolic discounting assumes that…
People are more impatient in the short-run, using a higher discount rate, becoming more patient over longer periods of time - present bias
Inconsistent time preferences
Lack of self-awareness affecting behaviour
Naivety
Future preferences = current preferences
No learning from past experience or changing preferences
Think they will use constant discount rate but will discount hyperbolically
Self-awareness affecting behaviour
Sophisticated
Accurately predict how preferences will change over time
Can pre-commit to actions that prevent them from yielding to a preference reversal later
Seminar 4
Children become more patient as they grow older
Girls are more patient than boys
More patience with front end-delay
Time consistency
If one stream of rewards has a greater present value than another at one point in time, it will have a greater present value at any other point in time
Discount rate
The interest rate at which future utilities are discounted
Discount factor
How much each period’s utility is multiplied by to calculate the present value of the utility
Anomlies in the DUM
Sign effect - gains are discounted more than losses
Magnitude effect - large outcomes are discounted at a lower rate than small ones
β
Discount rate
Measures the degree of present bias
β<1 = discount factor between current period and the next is lower than in later periods
β=1 = quasi-hyperbolic function reduces to the exponential function of the DUM - D(t)=β^t
Quasi-hyperbolic discounting formula
discount rate x discount factor^time-period remaining x value