interest rates and shit Flashcards

1
Q

The Yield Curve

A

plot of yield to maturity as a function of time to maturity

displays the relationship between YTM and time to maturity

Information on expected future short-term rates can be implied

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2
Q

are Yields on different maturity bonds equal?

A

no

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3
Q

Bond stripping and bond reconstitution may offer opportunities for what under Law of One Price?

A

for arbitrage

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4
Q

can bond coupon payments be seen as individual coupon bonds?

what does this mean for bond prices

A

yes

we need to discount every cash flow (bond and principal) at the appropriate discount rate corresponding to the maturity of this CF

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5
Q

Stripped bonds

A

zero-coupon bonds created by selling each coupon (or principal payment) made by the governments’ bond as a separate cash flow

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6
Q

how to determined the price of stripped bonds

A

To determine the price of its zero-coupon bonds we need to obtain their present value

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7
Q

There different yield curves used in the market

A

Pure yield curve

On-the-run yield curve

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8
Q

Pure yield curve

A

this is the yield curve for stripped or zero-coupon bonds

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9
Q

On-the-run yield curve

A

constructed from the YTM of different maturities recently issued coupon paying bonds

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10
Q

the Spot Rate

A

the yield to maturity on zero-coupon bonds

refers to the interest rate valid from today till the maturity of the corresponding zero-coupon bond

the geometric average of its component short rates

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11
Q

Short rate

A

refers to interest rate available for a specific time interval at a specific period of time

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12
Q

how to calculate short rate

A

r2 = (1 + y2) / (1 + r1) - 1

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13
Q

how to calculate the spot rate for two year holding period

A

y2 = ((1 + r1)(1 + r2))^(1/2)

A spot rate is the geometric average of its component short rates

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14
Q

why does the long term yield curve slope up

A

because of interest risk premium

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15
Q

when does the Yield curve slope up?

what could this indicate

A

When next year’s short rate, r2 > r1, the yield curve slopes up

May indicate rates are expected to rise

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16
Q

when does the Yield curve slope down?

what could this indicate

A

When next year’s short rate, r2 < r1, the yield curve slopes down

17
Q

hot calculate a forward rate

A

(1 + fn) = ((1 + yn)^n) / (1 + yn-1)^(n-1)

18
Q

what happens to the liquidity premiums when short rates and forward rates are expected to remain constant?

A

liquidity premiums remain constant

19
Q

what happens to the liquidity premiums when short rates are expected to decline and forward rates are expected to increase?

A

liquidity premiums increases

20
Q

what happens to the liquidity premiums when short rates and forward rates are expected to remain decrease at the same rate?

A

liquidity premiums remain constant

21
Q

what happens to the liquidity premiums when short rates increase but forward rates are expected to remain increase even more at the same rate?

A

liquidity premiums increases

22
Q

The expectations hypothesis

A

states that forward rates correspond to the future interest rates expected by the market

Observed long-term rate is a function of today’s short term rate and expected future short-term rates

fn = E(rn) such that liquidity premiums are zero

23
Q

The liquidity preference hypothesis

A

states that the market is dominated by short term investors who require a premium to induce them to invest in longer term instruments instead of investing in short term ones

24
Q

Longer term rates being larger than shorter term rates lead to?

A

having higher forward rates than spot rates

Long-term bonds are more risky: fn > E(rn)

The excess of fn over E(rn) is the liquidity premium

The yield curve has an upward bias built into the long-term rates because of the liquidity premium

25
Q

what does an up sloping yield curve mean?

A

Rates are expected to rise

or

Investors require large liquidity premiums to hold long term bonds

26
Q

how is the yield curve is a good predictor of the business cycle?

A

Long term rates tend to rise in anticipation of economic expansion

Inverted yield curve may indicate that interest rates are expected to fall and signal a recession