INTC Flashcards

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Q

Q3 2015 Earnings

A
  • Datacenter light of expectations - $4.16bn vs. $4.25bn expectations
  • Client computing group beat strongly - $8.5bn vs. $8bn expectation
  • Missed on all other segments – IoT, software and services, and all other
  • Gross margins in-line at 63%
  • 2 important things from earnings release
    o Datacenter number was a little light but that can be a positive from here if they are bullish on the call
    o Sequential guide only up 2% because Q3 was an earnings surprise (this is a positive from my opinion because it means the bar for Q4 is low – one of the fears was they would keep an unsustainably high bar out there for Q4
  • Miss was blamed on servers chips instead of the datacenter
  • Every detail about the quarter caused the stock to slip, strength came largely from ASPs (vs. units). Quality of units was weaker than expected – more PC/Notebook (channelfill) vs. datacenter spend because of weak enterprise
  • Inventory came in slightly elevated still, with DIO only falling from 88 to 85 sequentially, while inventory on an overall basis went from $4.82bn to $4.96bn
  • Higher capex outlook for next year – dropped this year’s capex by a couple hundred million because an upgrade to a product pushed out the purchase into CY16
  • Datacenter group continued to experience headwinds related to macro uncertainty and enterprise weakness
    o Lowered server growth expectations from +15% to low double digits to account for enterprise weakness vs. relative cloud strength
    o Q4 potentially weak on cloud datacenter revenues because cloud customers tend not to do large purchases in Q4
  • CCG – large growth from pricing in PCs (+9% q/q), enterprise PCs mixed up
  • Undershipped demand in C3Q, and lower tablet ‘contra revenues’ (subsidies) are helping ASPs
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