initial macro content Flashcards
exports
g and s sold to foreign countries and are positive in the BOP because they are in inflow of money
what is the balance of payments
a record of all the financial transactions (every quater of the year) made between consumers, firms and the government in a given time period
states how much was spent on imports and what the value of exports is
imports
g and s brought from foreign countries and they are negative on the BOP because they are an outflow of money
what is the BOP made up of
the current account
capital account
financial account
what is the current account
identifying the transactions in g and s between the residents of a country and the rest of the world
what is the capital account
identifying transactions between physical capital between residents in a country and the rest of the world (smallest part)
what is the financial account
identifies transactions between financial assets between the residents/firms of a country and the rest of the world
current account sections
trade in goods
trade in services
primary income
secondary income
trade in goods
balance of goods exported to good imported for a nation
trade in services
balance of services exported to services imported for a nation
primary income
net income flows
the net flow of profits, interest and dividends from investments in other countries
secondary income
refers to transfers of financial resources between residents and non-residents without an exchange of goods, services, or assets, such as remittances, foreign aid, and pensions
why is achieving a sustainable balance of payment important and what should it theroteically be at
aim for current account to be 0
A balanced current account implies that a country is not accumulating unsustainable levels of debt to finance its consumption or investment. Persistent current account deficits can lead to growing debt, making a country vulnerable to external shocks and financial crises
current account formula
trade in goods+ trade in services+ primary income+ secondary income
why should the balance of payments be equal to 0
all transactions should balance out, resulting in a net zero
why is it important to achieve a sustainable balance of payments position (2)
an imbalance may make it seem the uk is reliant on other countries performance. if export markets become weak, uk economic performance may suffer- e.g 2008 financial crisis causing rises in unemployment and debt in the uk
it could become difficult to finance this deficit in the long run as you want to avoid having to rely on external financing e.g being in debt to other countries
what causes a current account deficit
import value is higher than the export value
Wages. For example, if UK companies pay UK workers abroad, this leads to money leaving the UK and is a debit on the current account.
Since the mid 1980s, the UK has generally had a persistent current account deficit. Essentially, the UK has been importing more goods and services than it has been exporting.
why may the bop not be equal to 0 (3)
high consumer spending
low competitiveness
differences in countries’ levels of exports and imports lead to trade imbalances, resulting in a surplus or deficit in the trade balance component of the BOP
high consumer spending explained
If there is rapid growth in consumer spending, then there tends to be an increase in imports causing a deterioration in the current account. For example, in the 1980s boom, we saw a fall in the savings rate and a rise in UK consumer spending; this caused a record current account deficit. The recession of 1991 caused an improvement in the current account as import spending fell.
competitiveness explained
If there is a decline in relative competitiveness, e.g. rising wage costs, then it is harder to export causing a deterioration in the current account.
causes of exchange rate to increase (2)
Countries with stable political environments and sound economic policies tend to attract more foreign investment, strengthening their currencies.
Countries with trade surpluses (exporting more than importing) typically experience an appreciation in their currency, as foreign buyers need to purchase the domestic currency to pay for exports.
causes of exchange rate to decrease (2)
Weak economic indicators, such as low GDP growth, rising unemployment, or declining productivity, can reduce investor confidence in a country’s economy. This may lead to decreased demand for the currency, causing its value to fall.
Uncertainty surrounding government policies, elections, or geopolitical tensions can lead to decreased investor confidence and capital outflows. As investors move their funds to safer places, the demand for the country’s currency may decrease, causing its value to decline.
calculating inflation (cpi)- basket of goods
measures household purchasing power with the family expenditure survey. this finds out what consumers spend their income on. from this, the basket of goods is created. the goods are weighted according to how much income is spent on them. each year this is updated to see how spending patterns have changed.
limitations of the cpi when measuring inflation (2)
only representative of your average household- so its not representative for those who don’t own cars as people who do spend 14% of their income on motoring
different types of people have different spending patterns - could be down to age, ethnicity etc