Influences On Voting Behaviour Flashcards

(38 cards)

1
Q

What happened between 1945 - 1980? (gender)

A

Political parties attempted to gain the “housewives vote” by articulating women’s concerns with family issues. However as men and women increasingly play similar roles in society this became less relevant as a result.

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2
Q

Is gender a relevant factor in voting behavior? (gender)

A

Gender is not seen as a relevant factor in voting behavior and it does not determine the results of general elections.

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3
Q

What are some statistics that show that there is virtually no correlation of difference between males and females typically voting? (gender)

A

Conservatives :
1992 - males voted 41% for conservatives and 44% of women voted for conservatives
2024- 23% of men voted conservative and 26% of women voted conservative

Labour :
1992 - 37% of men voted Labour whereas 34% of women voted Labour
2024- 34% of men voted Labour and 35% of women voted Labour

Liberal democrats:
1992 - 18% for both men and women
2024- 12% men and 13% women

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4
Q

What do the statistics show?
(gender)

A

Voting is not gendered and there are no noticeable trends.

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5
Q

What happened in the 2017 general election? (gender)

A

It was striking that among 18-24 year olds voters:
women - 18% conservative 73% Labour
Men - 36% conservative 52% Labour

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6
Q

What was the reason for the imbalance in the 2017 general election? (gender)

A

This imbalance is not reflected in any previous general elections and shows the relationship between the two demographic factors of gender and age.

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7
Q

What happened in the 2024 general election? ( gender)

A

Slightly more men voted reform Uk compared to women . 17% to 12%

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8
Q

Is the gender of the PM significant with voting behavior and gender?
(gender)

A

When Theresa May was leader in 2017 of CP it did not lead to more women voting for the CP. 43% - men 40% - women in 2017 GE. Furthermore when Margaret Thatcher was the first female leader of the CP more women voted for her in 1979 (47%) but by 1987 her female share of the vote declined (43%)

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9
Q

What are some reasons for the link between ethnicity and voting? (ethnicity)

A
  • Views on particular countries (Palestine-Israel war)
    -Immigration/foreign policies
    -Certain policies that may target or benefit that group in a particular way and promote welfare and social inclusion
  • Party’s view / policies on certain ethnic minorities
    -History/ respect and values for ethnic minorities
    -Leader of the party - discrimination and prejudice
    -Education
  • Class/ income of the group
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10
Q

What are the statistics linking voting behavior and ethnicity of BME groups? (ethnicity)

A

Conservative:
1997- 18% 2019- 20% increase
Labor:
1997- 70% 2019-64% decrease
Liberal Democrat:
1997-9 % 2019-12% increase/fluctuating

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11
Q

How is ethnicity linked with voting behavior in relation to history? (ethnicity)

A

since Commonwealth immigrant communities were generally within the C2, DE classes, they were more likely to vote Labor because of its high spending on the welfare state and close association with the trade union movement. Therefore, the answer to why the BME community favor Labor is closely linked to socio-economic factors and a greater likelihood that members will be more likely to hold left-wing preferences. This suggests that the relevant factor here, is class and income, not ethnicity.

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12
Q

What act has Labor introduced which led to the increasing support of BME groups over the years? (ethnicity)

A

Race and Relations Act in 1965, 1968 and 1976 to outlaw discrimination and promote multi culturalism.

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13
Q

What speech by an individual from the CP has led to a hostile legacy between the CP and immigrant groups? (ethnicity)

A

Enoch Powell, whose ‘‘rivers and blood’’ speech in 1968 called an end to commonwealth immigration.

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14
Q

What happened in the 2017 GE?
(ethnicity)

A

Jeremy Corbyn’s strong empathy for BME groups contributed to Labor winning 49 of the 73 seats in Greater London, which has a population of just 45% white British.The result in East Ham, which has a non-white population of 77%, making it the most ethnically diverse constituency in the UK, is particularly revealing with Labor gaining 83.2% share of the vote compared to the Conservatives, with 12.8% (UKIP gained 1.2%). The Conservatives, on the other hand, held just five of the 75 most ethnically diverse constituencies in the UK in the 2017 general election.

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15
Q

What does British Future suggest? ( a think tank) (ethnicity)

A

research suggests that a majority of the Hindu and Sikh community now support the CP. These well-established groups have prospered more than black and Muslim populations and so are becoming increasingly MC – with MC status comes support for the CP. Whereas, black communities and Muslims continue to support the LP in large numbers. These links support the socio-economic argument that it is primarily social class and not ethnicity that is the key factor influencing voting behavior.

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16
Q

What is the 2024 voting intention? (ethnicity)

A

As is traditionally the case, Labour had a strong lead among ethnic minority voters: 53% intended to vote Labour, with the Conservatives and the Greens trailing far behind in joint-second on 14%. A further 7% intended to vote for Reform UK, 6% for the Lib Dems, and 5% for other parties.

17
Q

what does the 2024 voting intention show when we break it down into specific ethnic groups? (ethnicity)

A

Conservative support is significantly higher among Indian voters than other groups – 32% of Britons of Indian ethnicity intend to vote Tory, although more still intend to vote Labour (40%). This may be due to the factor of wealth.

18
Q

How Gaza has damaged Labor’s standing with Britons of Pakistani and Bangladeshi heritage? (ethnicity)

A

Pakistani and Bangladeshi communities are predominantly Muslim, and the increased support for the Greens seems to be a direct consequence of Keir Starrmer’s initial stance on the Gaza conflict. Among Pakistani and Bangladeshi Britons specifically, 41% select ‘the situation in Gaza and Israel’ as one of the top issues in deciding how they will vote – making it the third largest issue for them – compared to 18% for all ethnic minority Britons and just 5% of the whole public.

19
Q

What is the stereotype linked with voting behavior and education? (education)

A

Those with higher educational qualifications comprise the top social brackets and have traditionally been more likely to vote for the CP.

20
Q

What happened in 2017? (education)

A

the CP increasing their support among those in the lowest social classes with fewest educational qualifications and the LP achieving higher levels of support among those with degrees in the top brackets. This result could be interpreted as an anomaly. However, it may also be part of a long-term trend in which the CP have closely aligned themselves with stricter controls on immigration, thereby increasing their support among white WC voters who feel threatened by globalization and so decisively voted Brexit in the 2016 referendum.

21
Q

What approach did the Labour party take to attract more graduates? (education)

A

It’s liberal approach to immigration and nuanced approach to Brexit dramatically increased its support from better educated cosmopolitan voters. who voted Remain and have been dismayed by what they see as Conservative insularity.

22
Q

What did Goodhart say about voting behavior and education in 2017? (education)

A

contrasted the less educated ‘somewheres’, who are rooted to their communities through lack of opportunities, with the better educated ‘anywheres’, who have the educational qualifications to take advantage of globalisation. According to Goodhart, in 2017, it seemed as though Labour generated much increased support among the ‘anywheres’, while the Conservatives achieved their own breakthrough with the ‘somewheres’.

23
Q

What do statistics show? (education)

A

2019-
LP - 48% degree or higher
CP-59% no qualifications
2024-
LP-42% degree or higher
CP-31% no qualifications
Reform did better with the no qualifications group receiving 23% of the vote from this group.

24
Q

Why does education impact voting behavior? (education)

A
  1. policies and funding decisions
  2. those with higher education are more engaged with politics
25
What is the stereotype linked with social class and its impact on voting behavior?
Up until the late 1960s, possibly as many as 80% of people voted the way their social class indicated. From 1945 until 1970, general elections were defined by the effectiveness with which the Labour and Conservative parties succeeded in mobilizing their core support. The CP generally relied on the support of A, B and C1 voters, with Labour’s core support among C2, D and E voters. In the 1964 general election, Labour’s Harold Wilson won 64% of the votes of DE voters, while the Conservative PM, Alec Douglas-Home, won 78% of the support of the AB voters. A close link between class and party support is often described as voting attachment.
26
What are the three key reasons why class is closely aligned with voting trends/patterns?
1. The way people voted was part of their class identity ad therefore expressing class solidarity. ( links with voting attachment) 2. Both major parties developed strong and deep roots within communities, so there was a culture of voting for one party or the other. 3. The CP was perceived to govern more in the interests of the MC and the better off, while the LP developed policies to help the WC and the poor. It was therefore rational to choose the party associated with your class.
27
What are the distinctions in support for smaller parties between better-off and poorer individuals? ( 2015 GE) (social class)
More better off individuals supported the Liberal democrats (12%) compared to those of class DE (5%) Those in class DE voted for UKIP (17%) more than class AB (8%)
28
The impact of class on voting in the 2016 EU referendum?
64% of those in class DE were more likely to vote leave which links to the tendency of this social class group to support UKIP. However this voting choice may not be due to class but through issue based voting. . In other words, those in social class groups C2, D and E believed that they have been the most disadvantaged by EU membership, in particular the perceived adverse effect on employment and wages created by free movement of workers within the EU
29
What is instrumental voting?(education)
voting behavior which is motivated by self-interest – where people favor a party that they believe will do best for themselves through its policies.
30
What is the decline of class based voting also known as?
Partisan dealignment. Through the 1970's due to partisan dealignment people vote now on valence and salience of specific issues rather than class.
31
What are the two types of voters?
two types of voter: those whose class identity is not clear and those who do vote the way their class characteristics indicated that they might. The latter group are known as deviant voters because it is difficult to predict how they will vote. Similarly, floating voters tend to vote unpredictably and are liable to change the way they vote fairly often.
32
What are some statistics to show that class based voting has declined? (social class)
Class DE voting Labor in 1997 was 59% compared t in 2024 is 34%. This is the same for class AB voting for conservatives in 1997 being 59% and in 2024 being 25%.
33
How did smaller minority parties do linking voting behavior with social class? (social class)
Reform did better among lower and working class whereas Liberal Democrat's did better with classes of a higher social grade.
34
Give a summary of voting behavior being linked to social class. (social class)
· In 1964, as expected, 64% of class DE voted for Labour. · There is still a tendency of up to a third of the old WC to vote Conservative, but the correlation between class and voting remains strong. · ‘Deviant’ Conservative support among the WC was understood to be the result of deference. This is a tendency for some members of this class to defer to or respect those whom they considered to be their superiors – members of the UC and MC who were perceived to be Conservatives. · Some lower MC and some WC voters aspired to be MC and so vote Conservative as evidence of their aspiration. · The correlation between class AB and Conservative voting has always been strong, but this trend is changing - falling from 78% voting Conservative in 1964 to only 40% in 2010, with a small recovery from 2015 and then in 2024 dropping to 25% · More DE voters supported Conservatives over Brexit and immigration.
35
The decline in class-based voting habits has deep roots. Among the causes of the decline are the following factors:
· A trend known as class dealignment has been important. This is a tendency for progressively fewer people to define themselves in terms of their class or consider themselves a particular class – suggesting that social class has declined in its importance in UK culture and has less of an impact on voting behaviour. · The main parties, including the Liberal Democrats, have tended, especially after the 1980s, to adopt policies which are centrist and consensual and can therefore appeal to a wider class base, largely in the centre of society. This was particularly evident in Starmer’s Labour manifesto in 2024. · There has been a rise in the influence of other factors, notably valence (competence voting). This has tended to replace social class as a key factor in voting behaviour.
36
What is the stereotypical trend/ link between voting behavior and age? (age)
The Conservative Party’s support is strongest among older voters (and this trend is increasing), while the Labour and the Liberal Democrat parties have generally won the support of younger voters.
37
What are some reasons for the link between age and voting?
- Older people tend to engage more with policies -Policies that benefit them as a whole. Rationality. Older people benefit from policies that target healthcare whereas younger people benefit from policies that target education and the environment. - Younger voters vote via issue based voting whereas older voters vote through loyalty. - Older voters are more conservative and traditional with their views and beliefs - changing political views
38