Inflation Flashcards
inflation
A MONETARY PHENOMENON
a sustained increase in the cost of living or general price level
leads to fall in purchasing power of money
rate of inflation
measured by annual % change in consumer prices
2% using CPI ~ consumer price index
deflation
sustained decrease in cost of living or prices, leading to a rise in the purchasing power of money
- bad cos consumers delay purchase of goods in expectation of further price fall
- lack of consumption = GDP doesn’t grow
hyperinflation
sustained rise of inflations at very high levels every year
- caused by gov losing control of money supply
- too much printed money chasing too few goods can cause rapid price rise
measuring inflation
- representative basket of goods, weights on each item ~ items we spend most on have higher % of weight in basket when we calculate CPI inflation
CALCULATE CPI INFLATION :
- ( (e - s) / s ) x 100
- (current price / base year price) x 100
- current price x 100 = index number
main causes of inflation
DEMAND PULL :
- rise in aggregate demand may lead to shortages in the short run. to ration demand, prices rise
COST PUSH :
- increase in costs of production is forcing suppliers to increase price ~ rising wage costs, raw material costs, import price
MONETARY INFLATION :
- if there is too much money made available, it leads to increase spending, and prices rise
internal and external causes
INTERNAL :
- higher wages / labour costs
- boom in credit / money supply
EXTERNAL :
- increase in world oil / gas prices
- higher inflation in other countries
consequences of inflation
WINNERS :
- workers with strong wage bargaining power will get wage rise when inflation is high (brain surgeon)
- debtors gain because it erodes debt value
- producers, if prices rise faster than costs
LOSERS :
- workers in low paid / replaceable jobs will struggle to get rise to meet inflation
- savers lose out of rate of inflation is higher than rate of interest on saving
- peeps on fixed income or benefits as they don’t have ability to earn more
policies to control inflation : fiscal
( gov spending & taxing )
- quick
- not effective or targeting
- if total demand is too high, can tighten FP by reducing its own spending on public & merit goods or welfare payments
- raise direct taxes = reduction in disposable income ~ demand and output are lower = effect on jobs & EG in short term
- raise taxes = less money to spend ~ less money in economy
policies to control inflation : supply side
( become more effective ~ improve and increase capacity )
- effective
- slow and expensive and boring
- increase productivity, competition and innovation can maintain lower prices
controlling inflation in medium term :
- reduction in company taxes to encourage greater investment
- reduction in taxes = increase risk taking and incentives to work
- polices to open a market to more competition to increase supply & lower prices
policies to control inflation : monetary
( control of money supply & interest rates )
- effective
- slow
- tightening of MP involves BoE adding period of high IR to reduce consumer & investment spending
- higher IR may cause exchange rate to depreciate in value = fall in import cost and fall in export demand