index model +w3 Flashcards
pros of index models
Pros:
- Less estimates needed
- Allows specialization of effort in security analysis.
cons of index models
Cons:
- Oversimplification of real-world uncertainty
- Ignores industry specific events:
> The model assumes correlation of residuals is always zero.
– But residuals of stocks in same industry can be correlated.
– Pair-wise covariance estimation takes this into account.
what does the intrinsic value of a stock mean
intrinsic value is the fair value
what determines the intrinsic value of a stock?
Cash-flow from the investment determines the intrinsic value of the investment
What are the Cash-flows from holding a stock?
- Dividends
- Selling price (Future price)
What will your selling price be based on?
- Future dividends
- Next buyer’s future selling price
why would You expect positive/ negative return? (hint:intrinsic value)
- You expect positive return if you believe the current price is lower than intrinsic value.
- You expect negative return if you believe the current price is higher than intrinsic value.
what is Fundamental analysis
The intrinsic value of stock depends on the dividend and earnings expected from the firm.
– Fundamental analysis
Efficient market hypothesis:
Macro economic analysis:
Business success of the firm depends on broader aspects as well, name 3
– Global economic environment
– Domestic macroeconomic environment
– Economic policy
macro economic analysis:
what is analysed in industry analysis
Industry analysis:
>Economic factors affecting the firm’s industry
> The position of the firm within its industry