Important info Flashcards
What is the classic purpose of arms control?
*All the forms of military cooperation between potential enemies in the interest of reducing the likelihood of war, its scope and violence if it occurs, and the political and economic costs of being prepared for it
Does arms control require mutual interest?
Yes, but not the same interests
-Trust in the value of engaging but not verification
Forms of arms control?
Legally binding v Not
Bilateral, Unilateral, Multilateral
Symmetric or asymmetric
What is verification?
-Assessing compliance
-Monitoring mechanisms also provide information about adversaries that might be difficult to gain otherwise
What is a nuclear warhead?
explosive & Nuclear material (plutonium or highly enriched uranium)
What are nuclear delivery vehicles
*Intercontinental ballistic missiles, submarine launched ballistic missiles, or bombers on aircrafts
*Nuclear weapons: nuclear warhead & the vehicle it is on
What are the countries with nuclear weapons?
*Russia, US, China, UK, France, Pakistan, Israel, India, and North Korea
Why is disarmament a goal?
It is desirable internationally, prevents the consequences of large scale nuclear war, prevents accidents, seen as IMMORAL, not as useful against terrorism, cyberattacks, and civil conflicts
Why is disarmament hard to coordinate?
Not all countries want the same thing such as number of nuclear weapons or verification measures
Why may some be against disarmament?
- Can’t get rid of knowledge entirely
*How to prevent rearmament?
*How irreversible does it need to be?
What are challenges to arms control today?
- US domestic politics
- China’s growing arsenal
- Verification challenges for future arms control
- Emerging technologies
o Space
o AI
o Disinformation
Why are arms control agreements so rare?
Because it is hard to get the right balance of transparency and secrecy; MORE is not always a good thing
Is the transparency tradeoff always severe?
Yes and No
oSevere when capabilities are easy to conceal/hard to detect
oLess severe when cheating can be easily detected and/ or there is strong unilateral monitoring
what is unilateral verification
the other side doesn’t have to voluntarily give info because you have spy tech
oSatellites, radar, and electronic surveillance capabilities
oDoesn’t necessarily require a treaty
What is cooperative monitoring?
-Onsite inspections and data reporting
-Usually requires a treaty
What is Hedley Bull’s main argument about arms control and world order?
oArgument: bilateral arms control serves the interest of the states involved but does not improve the security of other states as well
Arms control as an advantage?
*Argument: arms control can create or lock-in one state’s military advance
*Example: anti-ballistic missile treaty as an opportunity to preserve the US nuclear advantage
Overtime did not provide as much advantage as it was thought it would preserved stability and equated vulnerability
Arms control as a wedge?
- Strategy of accommodation: a state can accommodate another country to oppose another
- Argument: arms control negotiations with one adversary can drive or deepen a wedge between that adversary and one of its partners/allies
What is the Jackson amendment?
a condition set on an approval, in this case SALT
-approve salt only under condition that all treaties with US and USSR have equal limits
which treaty did congress not ratify?
Salt II & Comprehensive test ban treaty
How did China’s domestic politics change?
Under Mao, China saw NW as a deterrent and was not scared. Under Jingping, there was a massive build of China’s arsenal
What did New Start do?
-Limits some new Russian delivery vehicles that did not exist when the treaty was negotiated
-extended until 2026
*Freedom to mix among ICBMs, SLBMs, and bombers
*Extensive data exchange and on-site inspections
*Bilateral consultative commission to work out disagreements
-RUSSIA SUSPENDED COMPLIANCE IN 2023
What is the US strategic posture commission report?
*The current strategy is not working to defend vital interests and improve strategic stability with China and Russia
*Called for more nuclear weapons
*Doesn’t talk about Russian and China’s response `
What was the Start Treaty?
*1600 deployed intercontinental ballistic missiles, submarine ballistic missiles, and heavy bombers for each side
*6000 nuclear warheads on ICBMs, SLBM, and heavy bombers, with maximums per missile type
*Verification through national technical means and on-site inspections
*1992 Lisbon Protocol: Ukraine, Belarus, and Kazakhstan become parties to START and commit to join NPT as nonnuclear weapon states
*Expired December 2009