Impact Of Social Factors On Voting Flashcards
Impact of class on voting
- usually A,B,C2 vote Tory, D,E,C2 vote Labour
Anomaly- 2019 BREXIT election - 47% DE voted Tory only 34% voted Labour
- 42% AB voted Tory
- 49% C2 voted Tory
Impact of gender on voting
- 1970 Ted Heath won Tory party= promises of economic stability and protection of weekly shop prices
= appeal to housewives of al classes
= overturned by 1997 Blair
Campaigns - 2015 women to women labour minibus went to 75 constituencies who didn’t vote previously
Current results - 2019= 43% women voted C, 46% men voted C
34% women voted L, 31% men voted L
How does ethnicity impact voting
- ethnic minority groups 52% turnout, white British turnout is 63%
- Enoch Powell 1968 river of blood speech hit our labours immigration policies and anti discrimination policies
= led to racist Tory reputation - concentration of ethic minority voters in metropolitan areas like Manchester where most vote for labour
How does education impact voting
2019 election
- 58% low education vote Tory
- 43% high education(degree or above) vote labour
- 17% high education vote LIBDEM
Impacts of social factors on 2016 BREXIT referendum
Age
- 71% of 18-24 yo vote remain
- 54% of 25-49 yo vote remain, 46% vote leave
- 64% of 65+ yo vote leave
Education
- 70% GCSEs or lower vote leave
- 50% a level vote leave
- 68% degree vote remain
Define rational choice theory
Assumes voters make rational judgment based in own interests
= voter conducts cost benefit analysis
Define salient/ issue voting
Voters place one issue above others and vote based on it
= judge party based on position on issue
Define economic or valence issues
Where voters make choice based on economic performance to reach desired outcome
Define governing competency
Perceived ability of gov to manage affairs of country well
Define tactical voting
Process of using your vote to prevent another candidate from winning rather than voting your first choice
How does social voting impact voting
- ppl influenced by shared membership of group
- ppl likely to cast vote in union with members of social group
- allow political parties to tailor policies towards key groups
How does individual voting impact voting
- ppl decide how to cast vote absurd on individual preferences
- like to vote based on personal benefit
- harder for parties to aggregate public opinions into workable policy initiatives
List short term factors impacting votes
Policy, key issues, performance in office, leadership, image and tactical voting
How does policy impact
Voters consider manifestos that suit them
1983 Labour ‘longest suicide note in history’ policies contained
Higher tax for the rich, nuclear disarmament, withdraw from the EU and nationalisation
How do key issues impact
Campaigns focus on clear message about one issue
2017 May’s leave EU
2019 Johnson’s ‘Get BREXIT done’
= left EU by Jan 2020