II. Plant survival and tropical biomes Flashcards
What are the range of temperature increases associated with the IPCC (2014) RCPs?
Worst case (8.5): +4 Best case: +1.5
How is climate change projected to alter the climate in the tropics?
5-7C increase in average temp.
Models don’t agree with rainfall, but strong declines and rises in RCP8.5 (and I’ve read that delayed rainy season could be a thing).
Drier, less soil moisture.
More extreme events e.g. El Nino, heat waves, flash floods, cyclones, storms.
What are the key changes that will occur in plants in response to changes in temp, soil moisture etc.? (x7)
Higher temps -> water loss (drought), photosynthetic and respiration change
Precipitation change -> drought/water logging
Reduced soil moisture from more evaporation and % runoff -> hydraulic stress
Increased radiation -> photosynthetic change
Reduced relative humidity -> hydraulic stress + water loss
Reduced low temp days -> seasonal changes, flowering/leaves
Greater exposure to extreme weather -> increased mortality
What options to plants have in the face of increased stress?
Climate change will change niche spaces -> will have to migrate, adapt, or die.
How might plants migrate, and what evidence is there for this?
Up e.g. Morueta-Holme et al. (2015) found altitude of plants on Chumborazo recorded by Humboldt have moved up >500m over 210 years.
North (latitude) e.g. Pecl (2017)
Feeley et al. (2011): found tropical Andean trees to move slowly, 2.5-3.5 vertical m/yr (but only 5-yr study)
What are the barriers to plant migration?
Abiotic factors -> gradient change e.g. soil, water, pH, nutrients; might not change with climate
New pest and herbivore attack
Dispersal ability
Anthropogenic pressure, fragmentation
How might plants adapt, and what evidence is there?
Acclimation: an organism changes or adjusts to new environmental conditions within single lifetime [can be reversible in time, not instantaneously reversible]. Potential for this is very uncertain, but found varying plasticity between plant species -> an evolved capacity to rapidly adjust; specific traits likely to be correlated with this.
Chaves et al. (2003) - drought response
Atkin et al. (2005) - changes in gene expression to respire differently in new temps
How might plants die?
Carbon starvation (plant must close stomata to reduce water loss, runs out of energy)
Hydraulic failure (cavitation of xylem can’t get water to leaves, more likely to kill, Rowland et al. 2015)
Biotic attack (pest pressures)
Disturbance (increased chance of fire ignition)
High mortality already happening e.g. El Nino response, peat fires
What have Chaves et al. (2003) found regarding plant responses to drought?
Progression in understanding of processes underlying plant response to drought at molecular + whole plant levels e.g. plasticity, acclimation, resistance - rolled leaves and stomata closure, reduced growth, shedding, partial dormancy, rigid cell walls, chemical responses
What have van der Molen et al. (2011) said about ecosystem responses to drought?
Drought interacts with carbon cycle differently than ‘gradual’ climate change. Plants must respond to prevent excessive water loss; species-specific water use strategies -> consequences for carbon uptake by photosynthesis.
Plant strategies to be more explicitly incorporated in veg models.
Role of stomata, carbohydrate reserves, insects, fire, cavitation, carbon starvation, hydraulic failure, root adaptation, species competition and nutrient recycling.
How have tropical forests responded to the 2015/16 El Nino?
Liu et al. (2017): carbon fluxes - heterogenous response of plants, mostly increases in C release in the tropics; anomalies occured.
Wigneron et al. (2020): slow recovey, biomass still lower than surrounding mature forest
What have Pecl et al. (2017) said about biodiversity redistribution under climate change?
Distribution of species changing in response to anthropogenic CC: affects global functioning, human wellbeing, climate dynamics, food security, patterns of disease transmission, C sequestration, albedo.
E.g. ~34% of European forest currently covered with timber will be suitable only for Mediterranean oak by 2100.
Poorer regions: major effects to coffee-growers.
What are the main features of the tropical rain forest?
High rainfall (>2000 mm yr-1, even >4000mm!)
Low annual variation in average temp, pretty static
Fertile soils (relative to savannah– but mostly in surface humic soil layer, with lower fertility deeper soils).
Mostly seasonal (dry and wet season), but with some areas experiencing limited or no seasonality.
Continuous closed canopy
Mostly deciduous vegetation – not like UK, but trees do drop their leaves; quick flushing; variable times
Highly layered canopy, often with dense understory (high total leaf area per m-2)
Very high gross primary production (total photosynthetic production)
Give some key adaptations of tropical rain forest.
Tall trees; 50m or more – light comp.
Buttressed roots – to support height, but shallow to get humic layer nutrients
Deep canopy – large number of leaves to compete for light
Rapid growth rates (high variation though) – variations in wood density (quick growing pioneer species)
High total transpiration – due to high leaf area; high water demand
High carbon assimilation – higher leaf area -> higher photosynthetic rates -> open stomata
Leaves flush each year – rapid loss and regrowth
High diversity of plant strategies
Fire intolerant
What are the main features of the savanna?
Variable annual rainfall (e.g. 800-2500mm) but lower inter-annual variation with distinct dry and wet season
Large temperature variation (e.g. 12-30 °C)
Low fertility acidic soils, high concentrations of minerals like aluminium, toxic to many
Highly seasonal climate, distinct and regular dry season with fires.
Open canopy structure
Mostly evergreen
Lower density vegetation -> almost continuous grass layer (trees can also be absent, 100% grass layer can exist).
Lower gross primary production (total photosynthetic production)