IFM flash cards
How do we compute cross rates?
- NOK/USD * USD/SEK = NOK/SEK
- NOK/USD / SEK/USD = NOK/SEK
- USD/NOK / USD/SEK = NOK/SEK
Forward rates
A forward rate is a contractual agreement between two parties to exchange a specific amount of one currency for another at a predetermined exchange rate, called the forward exchange rate, at a specific future date. Forward rates are primarily used by businesses and investors to hedge against fluctuations in exchange rates, which can impact their profits or the value of their investments.
A contractual agreement between two parties to exchange a specific amount of one currency for another at a predetermined exchange rate, at a specific future date. Are primarily used by businesses and investors to hedge against fluctuations in exchange rates, which can impact their profits or the value of their investments.
Forward rates
Covered Intrest Parity(CIP)
CIP is a financial theory that establishes a relationship between spot exchange rates, forward exchange rates, and nominal interest rates of two countries. It states that the difference between the interest rates of two countries should be equal to the percentage difference between the forward exchange rate and the spot exchange rate, assuming no arbitrage opportunities.
A financial theory that establishes a relationship between spot exchange rates, forward exchange rates, and nominal interest rates of two countries. It states that the difference between the interest rates of two countries should be equal to the percentage difference between the forward exchange rate and the spot exchange rate, assuming no arbitrage opportunities.
Covered Intrest Parity (CIP)
Uncovered Intrest Parity (UIP)
UIP is a hypothesis that states that the expected change in the exchange rate between two countries is equal to the difference in their nominal interest rates. In other words, it suggests that investors should expect to earn the same return when investing in two different currencies, after accounting for the expected change in the exchange rate.
A hypothesis that states that the expected change in the exchange rate between two countries is equal to the difference in their nominal interest rates. In other words, it suggests that investors should expect to earn the same return when investing in two different currencies, after accounting for the expected change in the exchange rate.
Uncovered Intrest Parity (UIP)
Continuously Compounded
Interest is calculated and added to the principal continuously, at every instant.
Interest is calculated and added at every instant
Continuously Compounded
Discretely compounded
Interest is calculated and added to the principal at specific intervals (e.g., annually, semi-annually, quarterly, or monthly)
Interest is calculated and added to the principal at specific intervals (e.g., annually, semi-annually, quarterly, or monthly)
Discretely compounded
Real interest rates
Real interest rates are interest rates that have been adjusted for inflation. They represent the actual purchasing power of the money you earn or pay on an investment or loan, accounting for changes in the general price level over time. Real interest rates provide a clearer picture of the true cost of borrowing or the real return on investment, as they factor in the erosion of purchasing power due to inflation.
Rates are interest rates that have been adjusted for inflation. They represent the actual purchasing power of the money you earn or pay on an investment or loan, accounting for changes in the general price level over time. Provides a clearer picture of the true cost of borrowing or the real return on investment, as they factor in the erosion of purchasing power due to inflation.
Real interest rates
Nominal exchange rates
Nominal exchange rates are the market rates we observe. It is the price of one currency in terms of another
The market rates we observe. It is the price of one currency in terms of another.
Nominal exchange rates
Measures the cost of foreign goods relative to domestic goods at the current market exchange rate
Real exchange rates
Real exchange rates
Real exchange rates measures the cost of foreign goods relative to domestic goods at the current market exchange rate
Uncovered carry trade’
Uncovered carry trade is an investment strategy in the foreign exchange market where an investor borrows a low-interest-rate currency to finance the purchase of a higher-interest-rate currency, aiming to profit from the difference in interest rates between the two currencies. This strategy is called “uncovered” because the investor does not hedge their foreign exchange risk using forward contracts or other derivatives, thus exposing themselves to potential exchange rate fluctuations.
The main risk associated with the uncovered carry trade strategy is exchange rate risk. If the exchange rate between the two currencies moves unfavorably, it can erase the interest rate differential profit or even result in losses. Additionally, investors should also consider other risks, such as changes in interest rates, political and economic factors in the countries involved, and liquidity risk in the forex market.
Uncovered carry trade can be a profitable strategy when exchange rate movements are favorable or relatively stable. However, it’s essential for investors to understand and manage the associated risks, as adverse exchange rate movements can lead to significant losses.
An investment strategy in the foreign exchange market where an investor borrows a low-interest-rate currency to finance the purchase of a higher-interest-rate currency, aiming to profit from the difference in interest rates between the two currencies.
The main risk associated with the strategy is exchange rate risk. If the exchange rate between the two currencies moves unfavorably, it can erase the interest rate differential profit or even result in losses. Additionally, investors should also consider other risks, such as changes in interest rates, political and economic factors in the countries involved, and liquidity risk in the forex market.
Can be a profitable strategy when exchange rate movements are favorable or relatively stable. However, it’s essential for investors to understand and manage the associated risks, as adverse exchange rate movements can lead to significant losses.
Uncovered carry trade
How do you do an uncovered carry trade strategy
- Borrow a low-interest-rate currency: The investor borrows a certain amount of a currency with a relatively low-interest rate, typically from a country with stable monetary policy and low inflation.
- Convert to a high-interest-rate currency: The investor then converts the borrowed currency into a higher-interest-rate currency, typically from a country with higher inflation and/or higher growth prospects.
- Invest in high-interest-rate currency assets: The investor uses the converted currency to invest in assets that pay interest, such as government bonds or bank deposits, in the higher-interest-rate currency.
- Earn interest rate differential: The investor earns a return from the difference between the interest rates of the two currencies, assuming the exchange rate remains stable or moves in their favor.
- Repay the borrowed currency: At the end of the investment period, the investor converts the higher- interest-rate currency back into the borrowed currency, repays the loan, and retains any profit from the interest rate differential.
What is this?
- Borrow a low-interest-rate currency: The investor borrows a certain amount of a currency with a relatively low-interest rate, typically from a country with stable monetary policy and low inflation.
- Convert to a high-interest-rate currency: The investor then converts the borrowed currency into a higher-interest-rate currency, typically from a country with higher inflation and/or higher growth prospects.
- Invest in high-interest-rate currency assets: The investor uses the converted currency to invest in assets that pay interest, such as government bonds or bank deposits, in the higher-interest-rate currency.
- Earn interest rate differential: The investor earns a return from the difference between the interest rates of the two currencies, assuming the exchange rate remains stable or moves in their favor.
- Repay the borrowed currency: At the end of the investment period, the investor converts the higher- interest-rate currency back into the borrowed currency, repays the loan, and retains any profit from the interest rate differential.
A step-by-step explanation of the uncovered carry trade strategy
Purchasing Power Parity (PPP)
Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) is an economic theory that compares different countries’ currencies through a “basket of goods” approach. The concept is based on the idea that, in the absence of transaction costs and trade barriers, identical goods should have the same price when expressed in a common currency. PPP is used as a tool to determine the relative value of currencies, to compare living standards between countries, and to estimate the equilibrium exchange rate between currencies.
An economic theory that compares different countries’ currencies through a “basket of goods” approach. The concept is based on the idea that, in the absence of transaction costs and trade barriers, identical goods should have the same price when expressed in a common currency. Is used as a tool to determine the relative value of currencies, to compare living standards between countries, and to estimate the equilibrium exchange rate between currencies.
Purchasing power parity (PPP)
Absolute PPP
This version of PPP suggests that the exchange rate between two currencies should be equal to the ratio of the price levels of the two countries, as measured by the prices of a basket of goods in each country.
This version of PPP suggests that the exchange rate between two currencies should be equal to the ratio of the price levels of the two countries, as measured by the prices of a basket of goods in each country.
Absolute PPP
Relative PPP
This version of PPP is focused on the changes in price levels over time rather than the absolute price levels. Relative PPP states that the rate of change in the exchange rate between two currencies over time should be equal to the difference in the inflation rates of the two countries.
This version of PPP is focused on the changes in price levels over time rather than the absolute price levels. It states that the rate of change in the exchange rate between two currencies over time should be equal to the difference in the inflation rates of the two countries.
Relative PPP
Call option
A financial contract that gives the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to purchase an underlying asset (e.g., stock, bond, or commodity) at a specified price, called the strike price, on or before a predetermined expiration date. The buyer pays a premium to the seller for this right.
A financial contract that gives the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to purchase an underlying asset (e.g., stock, bond, or commodity) at a specified price, called the strike price, on or before a predetermined expiration date. The buyer pays a premium to the seller for this right.
Call option
Put option
A financial contract that gives the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to sell an underlying asset at a specified price (strike price) on or before a predetermined expiration date. The buyer pays a premium to the seller for this right.
Binomial option pricing model
A valuation method used to determine the theoretical value of an option by constructing a binomial tree, which represents the possible paths the underlying asset’s price may take over the option’s life. The model calculates the option’s value by working backward from the expiration date, using risk-neutral probabilities for the price movements and discounting future payoffs.
A financial contract that gives the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to sell an underlying asset at a specified price (strike price) on or before a predetermined expiration date. The buyer pays a premium to the seller for this right.
Put option
A valuation method used to determine the theoretical value of an option by constructing a tree, which represents the possible paths the underlying asset’s price may take over the option’s life. The model calculates the option’s value by working backward from the expiration date, using risk-neutral probabilities for the price movements and discounting future payoffs.
Binomial option pricing model
Binomial tree
A graphical representation of the possible price paths an underlying asset may take over time, with each node in the tree representing a specific price level at a particular point in time. It is used in the binomial option pricing model to estimate the option’s value.
A graphical representation of the possible price paths an underlying asset may take over time, with each node in the tree representing a specific price level at a particular point in time.
Binomial tree
Replicating portfolio
A portfolio of assets that mimics the cash flows and risk characteristics of a specific financial instrument, such as an option. In the context of options pricing, a replicating portfolio typically consists of the underlying asset and a risk-free bond, and it is used to derive the theoretical value of the option.