IF EXAM Flashcards
Why’s it important to understand international finance?
Investors: make decisions based on exch rates etc
G.ments: make changes and dont repeat mistakes
MNC’s : manage money and risk internationally
recent IF trends
MNC’s rising, conducting business in multiple countries. Free trade agreements such as EU, single market and NAFTA helped with this
what is triangular arbitrage?
an arbitrage process involving three currencies
Problems from investing internationally
euro restricted greek and italian governments ability to respond to economic problems. Western companies (MNC’s) take advantage of cheap labour overseas. Causes lack of employment in mid west america and northern england.
If currency weakens e.g. 5%
Current currency * 95%
Chinas current account
Surplus. Exports are competitive but currency is undervalued. High prices for chinese consumers.
Future it may be pressured to revalue as other countries feel its exch rate puts their own products at a competitive disadvantage
UK’s Current account
Deficit. increasing debt, which is unsustainable/ increasing foreign ownership of domestic assets. Could cause problems in the future due to potential for capital flight.
what does a premium mean for the forward and spot price
premium in forward market means forward market price is LARGER than spot price
ways to combat a forced devaluation
sell reserves
raise interest rates
use capital controls
tax/subsidise international trade to influence demand for foreign currency
advantages of fixed exchange rate
provide microeconomic benefits, reduce transaction exch risk, bis asks spreads and uncertainty . May also aid gment in pursuing a policy e.g. export led growth
disadvantages of fixed exchange rate
hamstring monetary policy, lead to macroeconomic policy, require capital controls that are unpopular and difficult to implement
target zone
implies central bank intervention to keep the exch rate within a certain range
crawling peg
implies central bank intervention to keep the exch rate movements below a certain level
optimum currency area
the region that best balances the microeconomic benefit of a SINGLE currency w/ the macroeconomic problems.
downsides of optimum currency area
small currency area is costly
large currency area can cause severe regional recessions, especially if theres no political union
inter war gold standard
abandoned due to monetary policy being implemented to sustain international monetary systems. Governments chose instead to carry out monetary policy to suit their own best interests.
eurozone future
Eurozone similar to gold standard.
If no political union countries may leave as it wont serve their best interests.
Italy and Greece want to leave.
impossible trinity of exchange rate systems problem
only 2 / 3 are possible
perfect capital mobility
fixed exchange rates
domestic monetary autonomy
impossible trinity of exchange rate systems explained
perfect capital mobility requires a floating exchange rate or use of monetary policy to fix exch rate.
monetary autonomy requires leaving exch rate
rodriks political trilemma problem
democracy
national sovereignty
deep global economic integration
rodriks political trilemma explained
economic integration requires EU to be federal like US, this means no national sovereignty. National sovereignty means making own laws. Democracy, means people vote for their own interests.
a straight bond
fixed coupon payment and final payment at maturity
floating rate note
floating interest rate varies w/ short term libor
convertible bonds
allow holder to convert the bonds into a stock and have an option feature
managers inclined to hedge foreign currency risk?
want to avoid downside risk as if bankruptcy occurs they lose their jobs
M&M argument hedging is irrelevant
say shareholders can make or undo hedge according to their own preference