Hypothesis Testing and Inferential Statistics Flashcards
How can we identify the difference between two or more data sets?
WE DON’T KNOW.
We CAN however calculate the probability of getting a large difference.
What is a null hypothesis (Ho)?
The Ho is the probability that there is NO difference observed in your data (- nothing of interest is happening)
What do inferential statistics enable us to do?
To CALCULATE THE PROBABILITY of differences in data through CHANCE.
What is the difference between what we are looking for and how the statistics operate?
We are look for a DIFFERENCE in our data.
Statistical tests are testing that there is NO DIFFERENCE.
They are built on ACCEPTING and REJECTING the Null hypothesis (Ho).
What do you do when you have formed a Ho?
Select a suitable statistical test to test the Ho and give you the probability of being true.
What is the P-value?
The probability result from a statistical test which is used to accept or reject a Ho.
What % difference is often used to define a P-value result?
0.05 or 5%
When do we reject or accept the Ho with the P-value?
< 0.05 = REJECT the Ho (something interesting is happening) - the satistical alternative is accepted (Hi)
> 0.05 = ACCEPT the Ho (Nothing interesting is happening)
List the 4 steps of Statistical Testing
- Construct a Ho
- Decide on the critical significance level (nearly always 0.05)
- Calculate statistic + P-value
- Reject or Accept Ho
What are Type I and Type II errors?
Type I
You REJECT the Ho when it is actually TRUE. (always a chance it is right!)
Type II
You ACCEPT the Ho when it is actually WRONG to do so.
What do Ho and Hi denote?
Ho - Null Hypothesis
Hi - Research/Information Hypothesis