Hypothesis Testing Flashcards
What is a hypothesis?
A testable statement which entrails our beliefs about our observations
What is the null hypothesis (H0)?
That there will be no finding (no effect, association, relationship etc)
What is the alternative hypothesis (H1)?
The characteristic being studied is different from zero
What can you conclude with a two sided test?
The characteristic is different from zero but could be anything in either directiom
What can you conclude with a one sided test?
The characteristic is EITHER larger than zero OR smaller than zero
You can ________ or ___________ the null hypothesis but you cannot & _________ or _____________ it.
You reject or not reject the null hypothesis but you cannot accept or not accept it.
(Just because you did not find the treasure does not mean you can say for certain it isn’t there)
You can ________ or ___________ the alternative hypothesis but you cannot _________ or _____________ it.
You can accept or not accept the alternative hypothesis but you cannot reject or not reject it.
(again, if you can’t find the treasure you can’t claim for certain that it is or isn’t there)
What is a type I error?
A false positive (probability α) - the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when actually it was true
e.g. positive covid test but you don’t have covid
What is a type II error?
A false negative (probability β) - the nl hypothesis was not rejected but was false
e.g. negative covid test but you do have covid
What is α significance level?
Usually set α < 0.05
If we find a difference, we are at least 95% confident that there is a difference (1-α)
(NOT rejecting the H0, and the H0 is true)
What is Power?
Usually set at 0.80
If there is a difference, we are at least 80% confidence that we’d be able to find it.
(H0 is rejected and is false)
What increases our ability to detect a difference and the power of our study?
▪️Increased sample size
▪️Increased effect size
What are the four values involved in power analysis?
Need 3 of:
▪️Power (1-β) - usually 0.80
▪️α = 0.05 (probability of error allowed)
▪️Effect size
▪️Sample size (n)
What is an a-priori power analysis?
Using a power analysis BEFORE the experiment to calculate the sample size needed to have at least 80% power to detect a difference with error margin of 0.05
(ES is based on past research)
What is an a-posterior power analysis?
Using a power analysis AFTER our experiment to compute the power we actually had to detect a difference with error margin of 0.05
If we didn’t find the treasure, were we powerful enough to find it?
(Already have the sample size and ES)