HSC Year 12 Topic 2 Exchange rates Flashcards

1
Q

What are exchange rates?

A

The price of Australia’s currency in terms of another country’s currency or a basket of currencies. The equilibrium price.

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2
Q

What are the different systems for determining the exchange rate?

A

The floating system (clean or dirty), fixed rate system and flexible peg. Or a monetary union.

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3
Q

What are bilateral exchange rates?

A

The measurement of the value of a currency against a single other currency.

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4
Q

What is the difference between the direct and indirect method of quotation?

A

Indirect refers to how much one unit of domestic currency can purchase in a foreign currency.
Direct refers to how much domestic currency is required to purchase one unit of foreign.

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5
Q

What is the trade weighted index (TWI)?

A

A measure of the value of the AUD against a basket of currencies of Australia’s major trading partners.

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6
Q

Benefits of using the TWI?

A

It is less subject to pronounced changes and more stable compared to bilateral exchange rates.

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7
Q

What is a floating exchange rate system?

A

This is determined by market forces which can be broken up into two categories. Where supply and demand intersect.
Clean - there is no government intervention.
Dirty - government intervention if deemed necessary (short term).

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8
Q

What is the fixed/pegged exchange rate system?

A

The government wants to fix the price of the currency at a certain price, this requires continual government intervention.

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9
Q

What is the managed flexible peg system?

A

Government intervention if the currency moves outside the target band.

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10
Q

Why is the AUD supplied in forex markets?

A

To buy imports of goods and services.
To send income out of Australia.
To invest overseas, capital outflow.

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11
Q

Why is the AUD demanded in forex markets

A

Buy Australian exports of goods and services.
Send income into Australia.
Invest in Australia, capital inflow.

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12
Q

What is an appreciation?

A

Increase in value of a currency in a floating exchange rate system.

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13
Q

What is a depreciation?

A

A fall in the value of a currency in a floating exchange rate system. This makes the currency more internationally competitive. Increases price of imports and increases imported inflation.

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14
Q

Advantages of floating exchange rates.

A

Reduces need for large foreign currency reserves.
Insulation for the economy after external shock.
Flexibility in determining interest rates.
Reduces speculation over future values of currency.
Pursue independent monetary policy.

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15
Q

Disadvantages of floating exchange rates.

A

Increased volatility.
Subject to sudden shifts in sentiment.
Speculative bubbles.

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16
Q

What are fixed exchange rates?

A

When a currency is fixed/pegged to another country’s currency.

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17
Q

What is revaluation?

A

Where the central bank increases the value of it’s currency which operates under the fixed exchange rate system.

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18
Q

What is devaluation?

A

When the central bank fixes the price of it’s currency below the market equilibrium.

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19
Q

Why do countries fix there currencies? (advantages)

A

Avoids currency fluctuations.
Certainty of currency value encouraging firms to invest since it is stable.
Reduces speculation if the central bank is credible.
Reduces costs of currency hedging for businesses.
Keeps inflation low since there is now imported inflation.

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20
Q

Disadvantages of fixed exchange rates.

A

Imposes responsibility on central banks.
Conflicts with other economic objectives. Increases speculation if overvalued or undervalued.
Decreases ability to respond quickly to external shocks.
Requires large foreign currency reserves.

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21
Q

What is a managed exchange rate?

A

Where the central sets the value of the exchange rate within a target band.

22
Q

How does a the central bank manage exchange rates?

A

It usually sets the band daily. It does this buy intervening in the forex market to keep it within its target band.

23
Q

Advantages of managed exchange rates.

A

Less fluctuations.
Increased stability for businesses and investors.
Reduces speculation.

24
Q

Disadvantages of managed exchange rates.

A

Fluctuations are not eliminated.
Implications for central banks, since they need foreign reserves to intervene.
Uncertainty regarding central bank decisions.

25
What are hard and soft pegged exchange rates?
Hard means fixed, soft means managed.
26
When was the AUD floated?
1983
27
What is a crawling peg?
A managed flexible peg.
28
What kind of demand is the market for Australian Dollars?
Derived demand.
29
What does an increase in demand do to the curve?
Shift to the right
30
What does a right shift of the supply curve cause?
Depreciation in the exchange rate.
31
How do exports influence demand for AUD?
Demand for exports can affect demand for AUD causing an appreciation (increased demand) or depreciation (decreased demand).
32
How does the global economy affect demand for AUD?
Relatively strong world growth ~> Increased demand for AUS exports ~> increased demand for AUD
33
How does TOT influence demand for AUD?
Higher world commodity prices ~> favourable terms of trade ~> higher export income ~> increased demand for AUD ~> appreciation
34
How does demand for Australian assets influence demand for the AUD?
Increased demand for Australian assets ~> capital inflow from investors into Australia ~> foreigners who invest need to convert into AUD ~> increased demand for AUD ~> appreciation (demand curve right)
35
How does the interest rate differential influence demand for AUD?
Rise in interest rates = increase in profits for potential investors ~> Attracts more FDI ~> increased demand for AUD ~> appreciation
36
How does inflation rate differential influence demand for AUD?
Rise in inflation rate ~> increase in price ~> decreased international competitiveness ~> decreased demand for exports ~> decreased demand for AUD ~ depreciation
37
How does exchange rate expectations influence demand for AUD?
Expectations of future appreciation ~> expectation of future gain/profit ~> increase demand for AUD
38
What influences supply of the AUD?
Increased demand for foreign imports ~> increases supply of AUD (shift supply curve right) ~> depreciation of AUD
39
How does demand for foreign assets influence supply of AUD?
Increased demand for foreign assets ~> increased capital outflow from AUS ~> increased demand for Australians to convert currency ~> increased supply of AUD
40
How does relative interest rate affect supply of AUD?
Fall in relative interest rate differential ~> lower returns on investments ~> increased demand for foreign assets ~> outflow of capital from AUS ~> increased supply of AUD ~> depreciation
41
How do exchange rate expectations influence the supply of AUD?
Expectation of future depreciation ~> expectation of future loss ~> increases supply of AUD since the investors want to get out
42
How do relative rates economic growth influence demand for AUD?
Higher AUS economic growth ~> increased demand for imports ~> increased supply of AUD
43
How does transferring income influence supply of AUD?
Foreigners make money in AUS ~> they change AUD to foreign currency to take back home ~> increase supply of AUD
44
Why doe the RBA intervene?
Decrease volatility in the period following the float. To prevent overshooting or undershooting. To prevent excessive depreciation which can cause higher import prices and imported inflation. To prevent excessive appreciation which can cause higher export prices and decrease international competitiveness which can decrease economic growth.
45
What is RBA intervention limited by?
Size of its foreign currency holdings.
46
What are some types of indirect intervention?
Changing the level of interest rates (monetary policy). Macroeconomic policies by the government to increase/decrease economic growth. Jawboning, where officials use public statements to try and affect the exchange rate.
47
Types of direct intervention.
Unsterilised intervention and sterilised intervention.
48
Differentiate between sterilised and unsterilised intervention.
Sterilised intervention does not have any affect on conditions in the money market making it a pure forex policy operation. Whereas unsterilised intervention influences money market conditions.
49
What is unsterilised intervention?
Unsterilized intervention refers to a method used by central banks to influence exchange rates and their economy through the buying and selling of currencies without compensatory adjustments in domestic interest rates.
50