How the macroeconomy works Flashcards
What is the circular flow of income
An economic model showing flow of goods and services, factors of production and payments between households and firms within a closed economy
What is the monetary (outer) flow from firms to households
Income
What is the non-monetary (inner) flow from firms to households
Goods and services
What is the monetary (outer) flow from households to firms
Expenditure (on goods and services)
What is the non monetary (inner) flow from households to firms
Factors of production
What are the 3 ways of measuring economic activity
-National output (O)
-National expenditure (E)
-National income (Y)
What is national output (O)
The value of the flow of goods from firms to households
What is National expenditure (E)
The value of spending by households on goods and services
What is national income (Y)
The value of income paid by firms to households in return for land, labour and capital
What are the assumptions of the model (Flow of income)
- Households spend all their income on goods and services
- Firms spend all their income on factors of production
- There is no foreign trade
- There is no government
What are injections
Additions of money into the circular flow
Examples of injections
- Exports (X)
- Investment (I)
- Govt spending (G)
What are withdrawals
Removal of money from the circular flow
Examples of withdrawals
- Imports (M)
- Taxation (T)
- Savings (S)
What happens if injections>withdrawals?
- Growth
- Expenditure will exceed planned level of output = firms will increase output = output and national income increase = expenditure will increase
What happens if withdrawals>injections?
- Contraction
- Output will exceed expenditure = firms will reduce output = national income and expenditure will decrease
What happens when withdrawals=Injections
- Macroeconomic equilibrium
- no tendency to change- economy stays same size
When does disequilibrium occur
When the plans of firms and households differ
What is Aggregate demand
Total spendings of goods and services in an economy over a period of time
AD =
Consumption + nvestment + Govt spending + (Exports-imports )
What is consumption (C)
Spending on goods and services
What is investment (I)
Investment spending on assets used over a number of years to produce goods and services (private sector investment)
What is govt spending (G)
Spending on publicly provided goods and services
What are exports (X)
Uk output sold abroad
What are imports (M)
Foreign output purchased by UK
Approx % of factors of aggregate demand in UK
Consumption – 61%
Investment – 15%
Govt spending – 25%
Exports – -1%
What does Consumption being the largest factor of AD in the UK mean
An increase in consumption would have a much bigger impact than an increase in other components
X axis for AD curve
Real national output
Y axis for AD curve
Price level- avg price for all goods and services in an economy
Why is AD curve downwards sloping
- At higher prices, total demand decreases
- As price level increases, Uk goods less competitive so X decrease, M increases
- As price level rises, real value of incomes fall (real balance effect)
- As price level rises, Bank of England raise interest rate, reducing consumption and investment
What causes shifts in AD curve
Changes in components of AD (C,I,G,X,M)
What causes movement along AD curve
Changes in price level
What does a rise in price level lead to
Contraction in aggregate demand
What does a fall in price level lead to
Expansion in aggregate demand
What does an increase in components of AD lead to
Right shift
What does a decrease in components of AD lead to
Left shift
What is marginal propensity to consume (MPC)
The amount of an increase in earnings that is spent
What is marginal propensity to save (MPS)
The amount of an increase in earnings that is saved
What is Average propensity to consume (APC)
The total proportion of income that is spent (Consumption/income)
What is Average propensity to save (APS)
Total proportion of income that is saved
What affects Disposable income and spending
- MPC
- MPS
- APC
- APS
- Consumer confidence
- Interest rates and supply of credit
- Distribution of income
- Actual changes in economy e.g. changes in house prices
What effects consumer confidence
- Employment security
- real disposable income
- household wealth
What is marginal efficiency of Capital (MEC)
The expected return on an investment at a given time
What factors effect levels of investment
- Actual and expected demand (govt policy)
- Demand for Exports
- Interest rates- low=less risk
- Risk
- MEC
- Technological change and competitiveness
- Business confidence
- Bank willingness to lend
- Govt policy- NIC tax increase= confidence decrease
- Accelerator effect
What does Keynes ‘animal spirits’ theory highlight
The importance of confidence and gut instinct of business people in making decisions
Why is investment so important
- Creates demand
- increases productive potential
- improves competitiveness and productivity
- long term growth- ‘spend to grow’
What is crowding out
A situation where increased govt spending or borrowing leads to a reduction in private sector investment due to high interest rates of limited available capital
What is the accelerator effect
When an increase in National income results in proportionally larger change in investment ie people invest at a greater rate than initial growth
What is net trade
X-M
What affects net trade
- Level of real income
- Exchange rate (SPICED, WPIDEC)
- Quality and other non-price factors
- Economic performance of other countries
- Protectionism/isolationism - Trump/USA, Tariffs on China
Examples of demand side shocks, causing sudden large changes in AD
- Recession in one or more trading partners
- Large rise of fall in exchange rate
- Housing market slumps
- Share price collapse
- Events e.g. financial crisis, covid etc
- Unexpected rise or fall in interest rates and tax
What does SPICED stand for
Stronger Pound Imports Cheaper Exports dearer
(dearer=more expensive)
What does WPIDEC stand for
Weaker Pound Imports Dearer Exports Cheaper
(Dearer=more expensive)
What is the multiplier effect
- An initial injection into the economy resulting in a more than proportional increase in national income
How is size of multiplier based
- Based on how much an extra £1 injected will be re-spent in the economy (MPC) and any money not spent is leaked and doesn’t go around the cycle again
The larger the multiplier….
…the larger the effect on the economy of an injection
What are examples of leakages in an economy
- Savings
- Taxes
- Imports
What is MPW
Marginal propensity to withdraw
What is MPW made up of
- MPS
- MPT
- MPM
What is MPT
Marginal propensity to tax- proportion of an income taken in tax
What is MPM
Marginal propensity to import- proportion of an increase in income spent on imports
MPW=
MPS+MPT+MPM
How to calculate the multiplier
- 1/1-MPC
OR - 1/MPW=1/MPS+MPT+MPM
Factors effecting size of Multiplier
- Interest rates
- Tax rates
- Imports
- Spare capacity
- Confidence
- Income levels
How do interest rates affect size of multiplier
- If interest rates are high, consumption may not rise significantly as additional income may be saved rather than spent- withdrawal
How do tax rates affect size of multiplier
- Taxes are a withdrawal from the circular flow, and so if they are high consumers have less disposable income to consume goods and services
How do imports effect the size of multiplier
- If increases in disposable incomes are spent on imports this would count as a withdrawal
How does spare capacity effect size of the multiplier
- If there is very little spare capacity (unused resources) in the economy, then any increase in aggregate demand may not be able to be met by firms- therefore multiplier limited
How does confidence affect size of multiplier
- If confidence is higher, people encouraged to spend, so MPC may rise
How does income levels affect size of multiplier
- If individuals have low incomes, then any increase in income is likely to be spent, so they tend to have a higher MPC and vice versa
What does short term mean
- The period of time in which at least one factor of production is fixed
What is long run in economics
- The period of time in which all factors of production are variable
What is Short term aggregate supply (SRAS)
The amount that will be supplied when at least one factor of production is fixed
What is Long run aggregate supply (LRAS)
The amount that will be supplied when all factors of production are variable, equivalent to productive potential of an economy
What is aggregate supply
The total value of output in the economy at a given price level at a given point in time
Why is the SRAS curve upwards sloping
- Because price level in an economy will rise as firms increase output- remember some factors of production are fixed
What do changes in aggregate demand lead to
movements along SRAS curve- if AD increases, firms hire more labour and make resources work harder to boost supply so they can increaser profits
What factors cause a shift in SRAS
-Wages
-Raw materials
-Labour productivity
-Interest rates
-Changes to taxation rates affecting firms, subsidies and imported costs
-Supply shocks
-Tariffs and Quotas
-Price of commodities
What do increase in C.O.P lead to
Left shift in SRAS
What does decrease in C.O.P lead to
right shift in SRAS
When is the LRAS curve vertical
At the level of productive potential of the economy
What is the classical view of LRAS
- The economy will always produce the maximum that its factor resources will allow
- Markets will always function efficiently in the long run (producing outer boundary of ppf)
- Wages and prices will be flexible and adjust to bring economy into equilibrium- no unemployment in long run, only temporary
- LRAS curve is therefore vertical at productive capacity of economy
What is the Keysian view of LRAS
- The economy could be in equilibrium below full employment
- markets take time to clear and you can get long periods of unemployment
-wages are sticky downwards
-negative multiplier effect
-in recession, people lose confidence and save more
When spare capacity is high, AS will be….
..elastic- a rise in AD can be met easily by increased output without inflation
The elasticity of AS curve falls as..
..output increases because
-spare capacity declines
-diminishing returns in production
-resource shortages
When AS becomes perfectly inelastic…
the economy is at full capacity