How Is International Trade Recorded And Financed? Flashcards
What is the relationship between the current account and the capital and financial account?
Always equal and opposite
What goes under the current account?
- trade in goods
- trade in services
- net income flows ( eg profit, dividends, interest)
- net current transfers (eg foreign aid, eu contributions
What comes under the capital and financial account?
- long term capital flows ( FDI FPI)
- short term capital flows ( hot money flows, other loans
What are net errors and omissions?
Included to make bop accounts balance. Takes into account errors that have been made in compiling the accounts due to the complexity
What are the 4 main causes of a current account deficit?
1) strong currency- imports cheaper exports dearer
2) economic growth- more disposable income UK high marginal propensity to imports
3) decline in international competitiveness
4) higher inflation- exports less competitive imports more competitive
5) recession in other countries
What is the bop?
A record of all the financial transactions between one country and the rest of the world
What are the 4 main problems with having a persistent current account deficit ?
1) it leads to a loss of AD and slower growth
2) can lead to a loss of jobs in home based industries
3) can lead to currency weakness and higher inflation
4) currency weakness can lead to capital flight/ loss of investor confidence
When is a current account deficit not a problem?
1) when it can easily be financed by attracting money from abroad
2) low percentage of GDP
3) short term problem
4) an easy fix eg controlling inflation
5) if it is caused by importing capital goods which could lead to higher production and exports of goods in the future
What are bilateral exchange rates?
Value of one currency compared o another
Reasons for a surplus
- have a factor endowment in high demand by the rest of the world
- largely self sufficient ( low marginal propensity to import)
- high international competitiveness
- comparative advantage in high value goods
- weak currency
- relatively low inflation
- economic growth in other countries creates more demand for exports
Reasons for deficit
- low productivity
- CA in low value goods
- high propensity to import
- lack of international competitiveness
- high levels of consumer spending
- strong currency
- de-industrialisation
What are 4 policies to correct a BOP current account deficit?
- supply side policies improve competitiveness
- expenditure reducing policies to reduce AD in order to reduce spending on imports
- expenditure switching policies designed to increase spending on exports and reduce spending on imports
- do nothing ( free floating exchange rate system)
Why might a surplus be a bad thing?
- building up large quantities of foreign currency
- lower living standards as goods are exported rather than consumed
What are the 5 key factors that cause movements in exchange rates?
- FDI
- trade (current account balance)
- relative inflation rates
- speculation
- relative interest rates
What is the theory behind the J Curve?
A depreciation of the currency should raise the current account deficit back towards the equilibrium. Fall in exchange rate -> rise in exports & fall in imports