H Distinguish between cost-push and demand-pull inflation Flashcards
The two types of inflation (cost-push, demand-pull)
Cost-push: Decrease in AS
Demand-pull:Increase in AD
Cost-push inflation(wage pressure;wage push, energy pressure)
Cost of an input drives Plevel (because cost-push is AS, and AS is ADAS and ADAS is Plevel and Y) up and full employment down.
Policy to +AD drives full emp. back to natural emp, but at higher prices.
*NARU - Non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment; natural rate of unemployment
How analysts can track wage pressure
Public data on hourly and weekly earnings and labor productivity to ID signs of potential wage pressure. Wage +’s are not inflationary as long as they remain in line w/ gains in productivity. To measure that relativity, check out unit labor costs ratio: The ratio of total labor compensation per hour to output units per hour.
Additional source of wage pressure;expected inflation
If higher inflation is expected, workers will expect higher wage demands.
Figure expected inf. inflation-indexed bonds (TIPS) - otherwise similar non indexed Treasury bonds.
Demand-Pull Inflation (+MS, +AD)
Where +AD but no same +AS = unsustainable
unemployment falls below natural rate, upward pressure on real wages
rising real wages result in a decrease in SRAS
Output falls back to natY but Plevel inc. to P2
Analysts: Use the capacity of utiliation rate of industry to indicate the potential for demand-pull inflation. High rates suggest production at or above potential GDP = potential inflationary pressure
KEy diff. between Cost push and Demand pull (Impact on output)
Demand-pull increases GDP above full emp
Cost push decreases AS and initially GDP