Growth Theory Flashcards
Output fluctuations dominate in the…
… SR and MR
Output growth dominates in the….
… LR
Growth is the…
… steady increase in aggregate output over time
Adjusted real GDP numbers measure
purchasing power across countries also called purchasing power parity (PPP) numbers
Growth in rich countries since 1950 shows…
1) Large increase in output per person
2) convergence of output per person across countries
Facts of growth (since 1950’s)
1) large increase in output per person, however, sustained growth is only a recent phenomenon
2) Convergence of output across a homogenous set of countries
Convergence means….
… countries with lower levels of output per person typically grow faster as diminishing returns aren’t as present in developing countries
The aggregate production function depends on…
… the state of technology; higher state of technology, higher Y is for given levels of L and N
Source of growth: Capital Accumulation
Increases in output per worker (Y/N) can come from increases in capital per worker (K/N)
Source of growth: effects of an increase in technological progress
Improvements in state of tech shift the production fn and lead to more output per worker given capital per worker
Capital accumulation cannot…
…. sustain growth
Sustained growth requires….
…. sustained technological progress
Axis for Solow model
y-axis: Output per worker (Y/N)
x-axis: Capital per worker (K/N)
Solow’s (neo-classical model), two determinations for output and capital hold:
1) The amount of capital determines the amount of output being produced
2) The amount of output determines the amount of saving and, in turn, the amount of capital accumulated over time
Two steady state (Long-run equilibrium) relations:
1) Capital determines output Yt/N = f(Kt/N)
2) Output determines capital accumulation
Kt+1/N - Kt/N = s(Yt/N) - ∂(Kt/N)
Combining the two relations, we can study the behaviour of output and capital over time
When capital and output are low…
… investment exceeds depreciation and capital increases
When capital and output are high….
…. investment is less than depreciation and capital decreases
The steady state is when…
… output per worker and capital per worker are no longer changing in the economy, hence growth rates are zero
If there is no pop growth…
… the steady state growth of both output and capital is zero
Three observations about the effects of savings rate on the growth of output per worker are:
1) the saving rate has no effect on the LR growth rate of output per worker, which is equal to zero
2) Nonetheless, the saving rate determines the level of output per worker in the LR. Other things equal, countries with higher saving rate will achieve higher output per worker in the LR
3) Increase in the saving rate will lead to higher growth of output per worker for some time (i.e. SR), but not forever.
Golden rule level of capital
Level of capital associated with the value of the saving rate that yields the highest level of consumption in the steady state
Steady state output per worker is equal to…
… the ratio of the saving rate to the depreciation rate.
Technological progress is a result of…
… firms research and development (R&D) activities
Spending on R&D depends on:
1) The fertility of new of the research process, or how spending on R&D translates into new ideas and new products
2) The appropriability of research results, or the extent to which firms benefit from the result of their own R&D
Determinants of fertility:
1) Interaction between basic research and applied research
2) The country: some better at basic, others at applied
3) Time
Fast growth may come from two sources:
1) Higher rate of technological progress
2) Adjustment of capital per effective worker, K/AN, to a higher level. In this case, the growth rate of output exceeds the rate of tech progress.
Tech progress in advanced economies
By definition will be at the technological frontier, with the need to develop new ideas, new processes and new products
Tech progress in less advanced economies
Easier to imitate rather than innovate new tech, taking the form of technological catch up