Global Warming Flashcards
A1 scenario
Rapid economic growth, population peak then fall, substantial reduction in regional income disparity
B1 scenario
Same as a1 but moves towards service and information economy
Clean and resource efficient technology
Why is there uncertainty in the scenarios?
- complexity of atmosphere
- feedback loops misunderstood
- assumptions on rates of consumption, population growth
Tipping point
Irreversible climate change
North Atlantic conveyor - thermohaline circulation
Heat from tropics moves to poles - as water comes across Atlantic it cools - becomes more dense and saline
This leads to down welling and the cold water sinks, and moves back south as a deep water current
Why has down welling weakened and the amount of water carried in circulation dropped 30%?
Rapid melting of ice sheets - fresh water
Increased discharge from rivers due to melting permafrost
Freshwater - dilutes ocean waters, reducing salinity and density, weakening down welling
What would happen without thermohaline circulation?
North west Europe - plunge into deep freeze
Sea ice would form in winter
Shorter growing season
Causes of warming in the Arctic
Ice albedo feedback
Large areas covered permanently or seasonally by snow
Snow and ice reflect most solar radiation
Global warming reducing snow and ice cover
Land and water absorb more radiation
Rising temperatures, more melting — positive feedback
Impact of melting permafrost
- huge volumes of methane and co2
- irreversible
- vegetation and habitat change
- disruption to migrations
- damage to infrastructure
- destruction of traditional indigenous economies
What is eustatic sea level rise?
Global sea level rise