Global Trade and Finance Flashcards

1
Q

two components of the global finance system

A

o International monetary system (regulates exchange rates (price of one currencies relative to another) b/w economies
o International investment system (regulates how capital flows across borders)

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2
Q

explain financialisation

A

progressive insertion of the logic of finance becoming more prevalent in our lives

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3
Q

define financial markets and its role

A

where people trade fungible items (usually more accurately ‘exchanges’)

  • Role: link lenders and borrowers in allocating economic resources
  • Developed to support the ‘real’ economy
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4
Q

explain real and money economy

A

o The ‘real’ economy: concerned with producing goods and services- e.g. manufacturing
o The ‘money’ economy: financial markets, concerned with buying and selling fungible items

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5
Q

what is an inherent part of financial markets and why

A

risk= expectations of future income flows uncertain

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6
Q

3 parts of mundell flaming

A

capital mobility
exchange rates
monetary policy

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7
Q

explain MF capital mobility

A

ability of money to cross borders freely

 Allows access to greater funds for investment + growth

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8
Q

explain MF exchange rates

A

existence of fixed or minimally floating currencies
 Reassures investors that value of their money not lost through depreciating currency + avoids uncertainty of fluctuating currencies

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9
Q

explain MF monetary policy/autonomy

A

able to set own interest rates in response to domestic conditions
 Rates able to influence domestic growth and employment

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10
Q

what is mundell flame tricot know as

A

impossible trinity

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11
Q

why can’t gov peruse monetary policy if already strving for first two

A

o If gov pursue indep. Monetary policy, might then set domestic interest rates low to drive economic activity bc economy experiencing downturn (so lower interest rate to drive activity)
o Then capital leave country as interest rate low= less return in domestic market
o Capital leaving= produces downward pressure on exchange rate
o Gov could increase interest rates to maintain value of exchange rate but this means abandoning initial goal of lowering interest rates

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12
Q

which combination of MF does gold standard express

A

• Fixed exchange rates + capital mobility

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13
Q

which combination of MF does bretton woods express

A

• Fixed but adjustable exchange rates + independent monetary policy

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14
Q

which combination of MF does liberalisatoin express

A

• Sacrificed fixed exchange rates to prioritise capital mobility and preserve autonomy over monetary policy

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15
Q

benefit of gold standard

A

Reduced foreign exchange risks (provided certainty + // increased international trade) and the incentive for speculation

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16
Q

cost of gold standard

A

constrained government policy (less control over domestic policy) + long-term stability came alongside short-term fluctuations generated by periodic surges in the world’s gold stock

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17
Q

benefit of bretton woods (embedded lib)

A

Government spending used to shape aggregate demand (a ’demand-side’ theory to managing the business cycle
• Enabled open economy but governments remained able to target domestic objectives i.e. unemployment)
• Through keyenism policy (spend more to stimulate economy + reduce unemployment) - I.e. infrastructure projects
• Fundamental disequilibrium- countries given option to change peg value of currency if under pressure - sustained payment deficient (more money leaving than coming in) (IMF)
• // could control capital movement (control private financial flows that had potential to disrupt exchange rates and gov autonomy in economic policy) = Mundell Policy

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18
Q

cost of bretton woods

A

unhelpful in tackling stagflation alongside broader structural issues (Triffin Dilemma)

19
Q

why nixon shock occured (bretton woods end)

A
  • Ending gold standard= Nixon to intervene in economic downturn + tackle unemployment more effectively
  • Structural pressures on US dollar
  • Fixed exchange rates undermined by Triffin Dilemma: balance b/w dollars and gold deterior, more dollars outside US than inside + gov not able to redeem dollars for gold
  • // Floating exchange rates
20
Q

benefit of liberalisation

A

Monetarism (in response to stagflation- targeting high inflation over unemployment), with governments controlling amount of money in circulation – a ‘supply-side’ theory to managing the business cycle – tackled structural issues

21
Q

cost of liberalisation

A

created conditions for increased speculation (transactions taking place for profit on expectation of movement in the values of currency rather than to finance international trade and investment)

22
Q

why was staglflation occurring

A

o Price shocks were slowing economy – spike in price of oil
 Also meant production less profitable = combination of high unemployment + high inflation
o Keyenism at odds of these events

23
Q

IMF role

A
  • No longer monitoring activity but a lender of last resort

o Large short term loans in times of economic crisis to stabilise + manage debts

24
Q

what is FDI

A

investment in ownership and management of assets in another country

25
Q

what is portfolio investment

A

investing in bonds, no management part (shares + stocks)

26
Q

what is banking investment

A

short term lending and borrowing- usually interbank borrowing

27
Q

what has been the biggest rises in international capital flows

A

flows in institutional money

28
Q

why are biggest flows in institutional money

A

due to financial liberalisation

  • policies by govs support more liberal cross border flow
  • shift to monetarism= competition
  • reduce capital control (liberal approach to regulation of financial markets)
  • domestic multilateral policy driving new products and tech
29
Q

3 domestic policy of financial liberalisation

A

eliminated capital controls (move money freely now)

de reg of activities of banks, stockbroking firms etc, allowing increased comp in financial sector

securitisation- allows financial institutions to fund lending activities indirectly through capital markets rather than taking on deposits or borrowing in own name

30
Q

multilateral policy of financial liberalisation

A
  • Changes from the 1980s to EU and OECD rules governing capital flows among members
  • Domestic policy decisions made among countries for liberalisation environment for cross border capital flows
31
Q

how did gov create more liberal cross border capital flows

A

domestic and multilateral policies

32
Q

what did greater competition in financial sector lead to

A

new financial products and tech

33
Q

what are two new financial products made by liberalisation

A

o Derivatives: contract between two parties to exchange risk
• Issues:
• Varying levels of counterparty risks (insurance policies)
• Usually traded over the counter (deal put through broker not stock exchange // no public record) = difficulties in tracking volumes and measuring systemic risks
• High return= high risk
o High frequency trading
• Front run= buy ahead of order and make small spread of it

34
Q

Explain casino capitalism

A
  • increase risk =
  • High risk high reward
  • Expansion of capital flows for speculation, as opposed to production
35
Q

why do states regulate trade

A
  • Protect industries in contemporary era
    o ‘Infant industries’: protect until developed enough to be competitive to foreign suppliers
    o National security- should be self-sufficient in production of certain goods, particularly for defence purposes, e.g. food products
    o Cultural protection- e.g. film, theatre, music
    o Environmental or social goals- to protect labour, protect renewal energy suppliers
36
Q

how do states regulate trade

A

tariffs + non tariff barriers (NBT)

ie. quotas, subsidies, admin regulations

37
Q

why do states engage in trade

A

labor productivity

38
Q

explain absolute advantage

A

entity ability to produce product more efficiently than another, with assumption of same input (employees)
- // goal= produce more than need and sell surplus

39
Q

eplain comparative advantage

A

benefits of specialization

40
Q

explain how people can be negatively affected by comparative advantage (example)

A

Re-employment issues
o Theoretically: If one industry declines due to comp from another country, industry will shirk and release its capital and labor = which are then absorbed by industries in which the country is relatively more efficient
o Realistically this does not happen bc:
 Workers cannot move freely across jobs bc experience is specific to line of work, + few skills equally valuable across industries
 Capital movement not quick (interest rates high- no new ventures // not employed

41
Q

how did global trade volumes increase after WWII

A
  • Expansion in South-South trade from the 1990s
  • Manufacturing increasingly prevalent, as opposed to raw materials
  • Expansion of intra-industry and intra-firm trade
42
Q

Explain unevenness of trade liberalisation

A
  • developing countries lack resources to advance interests through WTO (litigation)
  • level playing field (US vs puerto rico)
  • one country one vote (formal vs informal)
43
Q

define trade liberalisation

A

is the removal or reduction of restrictions or barriers on the free exchange of goods between nations

44
Q

define financial liberalisation

A

deregulation of domestic financial markets and the liberalization of the capital accoun