Germany: Economic Developments Flashcards
Financing WWI
. Didn’t impose new taxes, issued treasury bills (short term) and borrowed heavily ‘war loans’ w interest
. Gov put more money in circulation to ensure supply
. Victory should let gov pay back what it borrowed
Wartime Economy
. Circulation of paper money: 200mil marks worth 1923 to 45,000mil in 1919
. National Debt: 5000mil-144,000mil marks
. Value of currency fell as productivity fell: 1919 worth less than 20% of prewar value
. Price of basic foodstuffs + consumer goods tripled or more, prices of goods in short supply grew even more rapidly on Black Market
Defeat after WWI
. Ended hopes of repaying debts from annexes + loans
. Land and colonies lost, reparations from Russia after March 1918 ceased, Saar coal mines given to French
. 90% of merchant fleet given to Allies
. Despite defeat gov borrowing continued
. Currency not devalued (fear political repercussions)
. Need capital to rebuild industry, re-start trade, post war demands for pensions + benefits, maintain pay
Post-War economy
. Post-war inflation economically wise, stimulated
. Unemployment 1.8% 1921 vs 17% in UK
. Encouraged investment from USA 1920-22
. Prices doubled 1918-19, quadrupled 1919-20, 14 times higher than had been in 1913
1920 Coalition
. Dominated by Zentrum: powerful industrialists
. Elites benefitted from inflation, took short term loans
. Could repay w inflated currency
. Seemingly generous wage agreements could be paid w worthless money
. Inflation lessened gov’s burden of debt
. Politicians had interest in allowing inflation to go on unchecked: hope it may convince Allies that reparations were too great
. Patriotic duty to avoid taxes: fuelled inflation
Reparations
. May 1921: Allies estimated they’d received 2.6bil gold marks’ worth of goods (entire merchant fleet, 5000 railway locomotives, 100,000+ each of railway wagons, horses, cattle, agricultural machines)
. Saar coalfields worth 2.5bil Marks
. Germans claimed to have made payments of around 37bil Marks
Walther Rathenau
. Minister of Reconstruction 1921: tried to cooperate w Allies, hoping he’d win sympathy
. Thought Allies would revise reparations
. Policy of ‘fulfilment’ encouraged politicians to leave economy alone
. Paid first instalment (£50mil) end of May 1921
. Jan ‘23: Germans fell behind so French invaded Ruhr
Ruhr Occupation worsening Economy
. Paying wages of strikers further drained gov money
. Tax rev lost from business that ceased + from workers who became unemployed
. Had to import coal + pay for it w limited foreign currency reserves
. Goods shortages pushed prices up further
. International confidence in Mark value collapsed
Impact of Ruhr - inflation
. Exceeded 100% for most of 1920, dropped in first half of 1921, rose sharply
. July 1922: monthly rate of inflation passed 50% for first time - hyperinflation
. By Nov 1923: currency worthless
. 300 paper mills + 2000 printers working day + night to produce enough money
. Workers paid daily/twice daily as prices rose by hr
. Serious food shortages, farmers not prepared to sell for worthless money
Schacht
. Nov 1923: intro’d Rentenmark, 1 = 1tril Marks
- New currency backed by land + industrial resources
- Its supply was strictly limited, made safe
. As leader of Reichsbank adopted range of fiscal measures to reduce inflation + balance expenditure against income
Government
. Stopped offering credits to industry
. Lending rates controlled
. New taxes on individuals + companies intro’d, so reducing spending power
. This enabled gov to reinvest larger proportion of nation’s wealth: eg gov-operated post office + railways formed own banks in which they built up capital needed for investment
Result of economic changes
. Economy grew rapidly 1924-5
. Prudently run companies prospered, those that relied on cheap credit crumbled
. No. of bankrupt companies: 233 in ‘23 to 6000+ ‘24
. Faith in Reichsbank returned
. Old inflated marks gradually cashed in + Aug 1924: Rentenmark became Reichsmark: backed by German gold reserve, had to be maintained at 30% of value of Reichsmark in circulation
. Inflation ceased to be a problem
Dawes Plan 1924
. Reparations same amount but annual payments reduced
. Germany should pay 100mil Marks immediately, then 2500mil Marks annually for 5yrs, then the sum would be related to industrial performance
. Large loan of 800mil Marks from USA to help get Plan started + invest in infrastructure
. Reorganise Reichsbank + establish new currency
. Any sanctions for non-payment of reparations would be taken after consultation between Allies
Benefits of Dawes Plan
. Allies accepted Germany was struggling w payments
. 25.5bil Marks in loans from 1924-30 helped provide new machinery, factories, houses + jobs
. Evacuation of Ruhr and better relations with France
. Renewed financial confidence + optimism in Germany
Dawes Plan - economy
. Inflation below 0 in 1926, but unemployment 20%+
. Growth picked up in 1927, ‘28 another poor year
. By late 1920s effectively rehabilitated in Europe + Stresemann asked Americans to re-examine reparations in Feb 1929
. USA reconsidered under chairmanship of Owen Young