General Flashcards
Why is early-stage companies often difficult to valuate?
- Will often have negative CF’s in the first years.
- First years are driven by high uncertainty.
- What is comparables?
- the use of similar characteristics between companies.
- We look at characteristics that are driven by other underlying attributes.
- What will the use of Comparables give us?
A quick and easy “ground”.
- What are some of the problems with comparables with private firms?
- Don’t know what valuation methods other firms have done
- Their valuation is driven by private info (accounting and other key performance info), so can be har to find key ratios
- Valuation Methods
- Private Info
- What are some typical multiples for public firms?
P/E-ratio
Market value of Equity divided by total revenue
Market value of Equity divided by shareholders Equity on balance sheet (market-to-book ratio)
What is P/E-ratio and how can it be misleading when two companies have similar characteristics, but different capital structure?
- Price/Earnings
- Shows Profit after Tax
- Different Cap Structure = Different Tax
- Use EBIT instead of EBITDA
- EBIT ignores the Tax Interest
- Typical comparables for Internet business
Subscribers
- Typical comparables for biotech company
Number of patents awarded
- Typical comparables for gold searching company
Number of ounces of gold
- IPO
Initial Public Offering.
- Offering shares of a pricate company to the public in a new stock issuance
- Industry-specific versus accounting-based multiples in offering prices for IPO, whats best?
Research show that industry-specific multiples gives a stronger explanatory power.
Accounting-based gives little predictive ability
- Why is accounting-based multiples often little predictive for young, publicity traded firms?
- Uncertainty (start-ups)
- Accounting-based multiples vary
- How to avoid double-counting tax shields in the NPV method
- With NPV: Do not deduct Interest Payments from the Cash Flows
- What is the Terminal Value (TV)?
A company’s (or project, asset etc.) value into infinity
- E.g., sets an infinite growth rate after the forecasted period
- What to do when there are no comparable firms in terms of finding beta?
Use common sense. See whether the risk is systematic or if it can be diversified away.
Other option is to calculate “earnings betas” if accounting data is available.
- How to calculate earnings beta?
Comparing a private company’s net income to a stock market index such as S&P 500. Then use OLS to find the beta (the line).
- NPV method: A valid comparable company should have similar ___
Similar financial performance,
growth prospects,
operating characteristics to the company being valued.
- Is beta a proper measure for firm risk?
Numerous studies have showed that firm size or ratio of book-to-market equity values may be more appropriate.
- What is Monte Carlo Simulation
Monte Carlo simulation is a method used to measure different probabilities based on different outcomes:
- Considers all different possible combinations given your inputs
- Gives you a set of different probabilities for the different outcomes
- Nice to look at to find the impact of risk
- What is Net Operating Loss (NOL)
- Expenses higher than Income
- Deductions higher than Taxable Income
Generally used to allow some form of Tax Relief:
- Can reduce a company’s future tax liability: offset a company’s tax payments in some periods that can be carried years ahead
- APV Valuation three steps
1) CFs are valued under the assumption of 100% Equity (ignoring the Capital Structure)
2) Quantify the Tax Benefits
3) Quantify the NOLs
- What is Leverage Buyouts
“Using assets from target company to fund the acquisition”
- A buys B, by using assets from Firm B as a part of the loan
- Can allow for large acquisitions, sometimes Hostile Takeovers, with great risk
- Leads to high amounts of leverage, which hopefully gets reduced.
- Differences between NPV and APV.
APV is the NPV if 100% equity financed + the PV of financial benefits.
APV splits into different components
- What is Venture Capital
- Type of Private Equity Financing
- Gives Funds to start-ups, early-stage firms with high growth potential
- Generally rich investors, Investment Banks …..
- Does not need to be monetary; also expertise in technical or managerial
- What is Dilution? What happens?
- Existing shareholders equity position gets reduced due to a new issuance or creation of new shares.
- Existing shareholders gets a smaller % ownership.
- Because there are more shares, the stock price will drop.
- Venture Capital Method: What is the Target Rate of Return?
- The Yield the Venture Capitalist feels is required to justify the risk and effort of the investment
- What is the Venture Capital Method?
- Most common method in VC industry
- Investors will seek a high return; VC methods incorporates this and uses an appropriate discount rate (high)
- Market multiples most common method to find Terminal Value