Future Markets Flashcards
Futures contract
An agreement to buy or sell a specified quantity of a specified asset on a specified future date at a price agreed today
Which assets are possible to trade on the future markets
Almost any assets •FX •bonds •stock indicted •commodities
CME group
- CME- Chicago Mercantile Exchange
- NYMEX- NY Mercantile Exchange
- COMEX- Commodity Exchange Incorporation
- CBOT- Chicago Board of Trade
Front month
The nearest expiration date for a futures contract
How are futures contracts written in code
Each month has a code e.g ECH19
EC= euro currency
H= March
19=2019
Some assets have just 4 contracts per year, others have 12
Advantages of futures for speculation
- good liquidity and price availability
- no counterparty/ default risk
- leverage is allowed
- low commission rates
- long and short positions are allowed
Disadvantages of futures for speculation
- only open to high net worth individuals
- trading platforms are expensive
- less leverage available then CFDs or spread betting
- larger margin requirements for individual trades
- for some assets, only full contracts can be traded (not minis)
Advantages of futures for hedging
- oil producers, farmers etc can lock in prices for future delivery
- airlines can hedge against rises in fuel costs
Disadvantages of futures for hedging
- fixed contract size- inflexible amount
* hedging may lose your money if prices move in the wrong direction
Fair value
A theoretical value derived from the price of an asset
Why are commodities’ future fair values usually higher than the underlying cash price?
Because when you buy commodities you have to store it and ensure it so you lose money in lost interest
Equation for fair value
Fair value = cash price + cost of carry
Cost of carry includes •delivery costs •storage costs •insurance costs •lost interest
Initial margin
A fixed amount per contract based on the likely maximum overnight movement in the contracts price that you must pay
Equation for trading on margin
Total margin = initial margin + variation margin
What hapens when you close out a margin trading deal?
The initial margin is refunded and the net profit or loss is realised