Foundations Of Climate Change Flashcards
What is Climate Change?
The long-term differences in the statistics of weather measured over a period of decades
Weather vs. Climate?
Weather = state of the atmosphere at a particular time and place
Climate = long-term patterns of weather
What primary data is used to study the relationship between climate change and extreme events?
- Climate model outputs
- Historical weather records
- Tree ring data
- Interviews with local residents
(2) Historical weather records
- Is inherently fowards looking
- Is a type of way that historical weather can be recorded
- Is looking at the present
The surface thermometer records has shown that the Earth has warmed by ____ over time.
- 0.2C
- 1.2C
- 2.4C
- 4C
(2) 1.2C
Why isn’t warrming uniform acorss the planet?
More landmass in N.hemisphere and land heats up quicker
How much of the heat generated by GHGs is trapped by the oceans?
Roughly 93%
What are the two contributing factors to rising sea levels?
- Melting of grounded ice
- Thermal expansion of water
What is the confidence that climate is changing?
- Improbable (0-15%)
- Less than likely (25-50%)
- Likely (66%%)
- Extremely Likely (95%)
- Beyond a Doubt
(5) Beyond a Doubt
List 5 items
What ways can scientists collect historical climate data?
- Tree Rings
- Corals
- Stalagmites/ Stalactites (ie: Speleotherms)
- Ice Cores
- Ocean Sediment Cores
True or false
Around 50 million years, the Earth was much warmer that it is today.
True
How fast is the average rate of warming over this past century compared to the average rate of warming out of the last Ice Age?
- 5x
- 11x
- 16x
- 19x
(3)16x
Last average warming since last interglacial was roughly 6C in 10,000 years vs. 1C since 1900s now
What is the energy balance?
1. The difference in incoming radiation from the Sun vs. outgoing radiation into space
2. The equilibrium of incoming radiation from the Sun and outgoing radiation into space
AKA: Energy Budget
(2) The equilibrium of incoming radiation from the Sun and outgoing radiation into space
How much of incoming sunlight is reflected back into space?
Roughly 30%
This also means that roughly 70% is being absorbed by the Earth (23% absorbed by the atmosphere and the remaining 48% is absorbed by the landmass)
Which of these is NOT an GHG?
1. CH4
2. CO2
3. H2O
4. N2
- N2
What is radiative forcing?
1. The difference in incoming radiation from the Sun vs. outgoing radiation into space
2. The equilibrium of incoming radiation from the Sun and outgoing radiation into space
(1) The difference in incoming radiation from the Sun vs. outgoing radiation into space
Because of climate change, this means that the amount of radiation that is emitted from the Earth is less since it’s being kept in the atmosphere. It’s a good measure of how much human activities have impacted the Earth’s climate
List 3 things that could affect how much is reflected back into space
What affects radiative forcing?
(1) Clouds
(2) Ice coverage
(3) Physical properties in the atmophere eg: aerosols
True or false
Aerosols have a positive effect to radiative forcing
False
This means that aerosols have a net cooling effect, NOT heating
What is the GWP of N2O?
273
What statistical tool can be used to identify the abundance of CO2 in the atmosphere?
Graph
Keeling Curve
What is one of the biggest causes of modern climate change?
- Combustion of fossil fuels
- Deforestation
- Transport
- Agriculture
(1) Combustion of fossil fuels
Which of these activities is a major source of N2O?
1. Cement industry
2. Transportation
3. Energy production
4. Agriculture
(4) Agriculture
What is the Global Warming Potential?
The heat-trapping power relative to CO2
EG: methane has a GWP of 29 because one kilogram of methane equates to 29 kilogram of CO2 in terms of heat-trapping ability
Which reason is NOT why water vapour is not calculated in GHG emissions, despite being considered a greenhouse gas?
- Water vapour acts like a reflecting surface and contributes to the cooling effect
- Water vapour is a precursor to other additional GHGs and is therefore not considered a ‘true’ GHG
- Emissions of water vapour from human activities don’t contribute to atmospheric abundance
(3) Emissions of water vapour from human activities don’t contribute to atmospheric abundance
This is because the amount of water vapour present is set by the Earth’s temperature. Instead water vapour’s role in climate change is amplifying the changes in CO2 (water vapour feedback)
List 4 things
What other ways can natural processes affect the climate?
(1) Tectonic processes
(2) Output of the Sun
(3) Orbital Variations
(4) GHG
Tectonic processes = this is because as plates move towards the Poles, they may end up accumulating snow, which has an albedo effect and can reflect more radiation
Output of the Sun = Would theoretically impact the incoming radiation BUT there has been very little proof of any changes in past few hundred years
Orbital Variations = Technically, parts of the Earth would get more radiation if they were closer to the Sun/ angle of the Earth in relation to the Sun/ distance from the Sun
GHG = CO2 changes during ice age cycles are thought to play a role in ice-age cycles and amplify climate variations
How does the Earth’s energy balance affect the climate?
- It determines the amount of solar radiation that reaches the Earth’s surface
- It determines the amount of heat that is trapped in the atmosphere
- It determines theh amount of precipitation that falls
- It determines all of the above
(4) It determines all of the above
How much precipitation is expected for every degree Celsius of global average warming?
- 1%
- 3%
- 9%
- 14%
(2) 3%
What is the expected SLR prediction by 2100 under most likely emissions scenario?
- 20-53cm
- 32-67cm
- 44-76cm
- 58-94cm
(3) 44-76cm
What is a positive feedback loop?
When an initial warming triggers feedback that amplifies the effects of warming
accelerates the warming
Give an example of a positive feedback loop
Ice has a higher albedo :. can reflect more light > heating of atmosphere > more ice melts and exposes dark surfaces > dark surface have a lower albedo and absorb more heat
Which is one positive feedback mechanism that can amplify warming caused by GHGs?
- Increased cloud cover, which reflects more sunlight back into space
- Melting of sea ice, which reduces the amount of solar radiation absorbed by the ocean
- Increased plant growth, which removes more CO2 from the atmosphere
- Melting of permafrost, which releases methane, a potent GHG
(4) Melting of permafrost, which releases methane, a potent GHG
What is extreme-event attribution science?
The science to quantify the contribution of climate change to extreme events
ie: the scientific research to identify the ways that climate change has contributed to the increase of extreme weather events
Give 3 examples
What sources of information can be used in extreme-event attribution analyses?
- Historical climate records
- Understanding of the physics of phenomenon
- Computer simulation (GCM)
True or false
The climate tipping point refers to the point where the climate will no longer be able to sustain human life.
False
It refers to the point where, if exceeded, can result in significant changes to the state of the climate system, often with the understanding that the change is irreversible. The inability to support human life would be a byproduct of this, but is not the definition
What is geo-engineering?
The physical and active manipulation of the climate system
True or false
Adaptation efforts work best when it involves the support of the government.
True
Although individuals can do it themselves with sufficient resources, often times, large-scale societal coordination is required (eg: decision-making for large-scale infrastructure + providing resources)
What is maladaption?
When an action to decrease climate vulnerability increases risk exposure to another
How are GHGs measured?
1) kilograms per million thermal unit
2) joules per million kilograms
3) kilograms per parts million
4) grams per million thermal unit
(1) kilograms per million thermal unit
What is a commonly discussed geo-engineering technique?
1. Planting more trees
2. Increasing usage of RE
3. Injecting sulphur into stratosphere
(3) Injecting sulphur into stratosphere
The sulphur molecules combine with the water to help reflect incoming radiation. It follows a similar principle as volcanoes cooling the planet after an eruption
Give 4 examples
What are the disadvantages of geoengeineering?
- Uncertainty of how it will affect weather patterns in the long-run
- Difficult to govern
- Insufficient research
- Costly