Foreign exchange risk Flashcards
What are the 3 types of foreign exchange risk?
Transaction
Translation
Economic
What is transaction risk?
Short term gain or loss that arises when cash is converted following the settlement of a transaction
What is translation risk?
Gain or loss that arises in financial statements when assets or liabilities are translated at the end of an accounting period. (accounting risk)
What is economic risk?
Long term impact of exchange rate changes on the value of a business
When does economic risk arise?
When a business trades with another country, but can also impact companies who do not.
In what way can a company that does not trade with other countries be impacted by economic risk?
Competition with other companies who can take advantage of favourable exchange rates
A currency is said to strengthen if it can buy…
more of another currency
A currency is said to weak if it can buy
less of another currency
A strengthening currency is a favourable risk for …
imports where payments need to be made in another currency
A strengthening currency is of an adverse risk for…
exports where receipts arise in another currency.
What are the two types of exchange rate?
Spot rate
Forward rate
What is a spot rate?
This is todays rate. The rate for immediate conversion of cash from one currency to another
What is a forward rate?
The rate at which currency can be bought or sold on a future date using the forward market.
What causes exchange rate fluctuations?
Purchasing Power Parity (PPPT) and Interest Rate Parity (IRPT)
What does the PPPT theory suggest?
The exchange rate between two currencies (long term) depends on the relative inflation rates in those two currencies.
In the purchasing power formula, S1 = S0 X (1+hc)/(1+hb), what is S1, S0, hc and hb
S1 = future expected spot rate S0 = spot rate today hc = counter currency inflation rate (Variable rate) hb= base currency inflation rate
What does the Interest rate Parity theory suggest?
The forward rate used in a forward exchange contract is based on interest rate differentials.
In the IRPT formula
F0= S0 X (1+ic)/(1+ib)
What do FO, S0, ic and ib mean?
F0 = Forward rate or future expected spot rate
S0= Spot rate today
ic = interest rate in counter currency
ib- interest rate in base currency