Flaws Flashcards
Reads conditionals in premises wrong
Bad Conditional Reasoning
- Conditional premises
- Concludes something by reading the conditional premises backwards without negating
Bad conditional reasoning
- Conditional premises
- Concludes something by negating the conditional premises and reading forward
Bad conditional reasoning
Loophole: what if we actually have to follow the rules of conditional reasoning?
Bad conditional reasoning
- Sees two things are correlated
- Concludes that one of those things is causing the other
Bad causal reasoning
Omitted options: no relationship, new factor, backwards causation
Bad casual reasoning
Correlation ≠ causation
Bad casual reasoning
Parts≠whole
Whole to part/ part to whole
Loophole: what if wholes don’t necessarily equal parts?
Whole to part/part to whole
Loophole: what if one of the omitted options is the case?
Bad causal reasoning
- Member of category has a property
- Concludes that the category itself also has that property
VICE VERSA
Whole to part / part to whole
Part ≠ all the parts
Overgeneralization
Loophole: what if we can’t generalize from this one thing to a bunch of other things?
Overgeneralization
Liana was quite clever in her paper on shark anatomy. So Liana is a clever person.
Overgeneralization
Those economists who claim that consumer prices increases have averaged less than 3 percent over the last year are mistaken. They clearly have not shopped anywhere recently. Gasoline is up 10 percent over the last year; my auto insurance, 12 percent; newspaper, 15 percent; propane, 13 percent; bread, 50 percent.
Overgeneralization
Biased samples
Survey problems
Biased questions
Survey problems
Other contradictory survey: makes up when reality is different
Survey problems
Survey liars
Survey problems
Small Sample size
Survey problems
Loophole: what if the sample was biased, the questions were biased, there are other contradictory surveys, people lie on surveys, or the sample is too small?
Survey problems
Assume that two groups are same in all respects except the ones called out as part of study
False Starts
Example: possible difference in diet or age
Comparison is two group one exercise and one non exercise. Above might be key difference in groups specified as false starts
False start
What if two groups were different in key aspects?
False start