Fiscal policy and supply side policies Flashcards
Fiscal policy
demand management tool made up of tax, gov spending and gov borrowing
aims to raise revenue for spending and redistribute income
Expansionary fiscal policy
during recession
to increase AD
Contractionary fiscal policy
to decrease AD
Fiscal drag
incomes rise with inflation but tax brackets are not aligned with inflation
stealth tax
Supply side impacts of gov spending
reduced inequality
improved education and labour productivity
potential inefficiency of spending
potential crowding out
more public goods
Demand side impacts of gov spending
potential higher economic growth
higher tax or higher borrowing
inflation
higher bond yields
Evaluate gov spending
depends on whether spending is current (AD) or capital (LRAS)
Fiscal policy on SRAS
changes in VAT
changes in environmental tax
changes in tariffs
changes in subsidies
Fiscal policy on LRAS
changes in tax rates affecting incentives to work
R+D
higher spending on education and training
changes in corporation tax affect foreign investment
Crowding out
Gov borrows money
⬇️
Interest rates rise because DM>SM
⬇️
Cost of borrowing is too high for private firms
⬇️
they are crowded out from borrowing
Budget balance
relationship between gov spending and gov revenue
Budget deficit
gov spending > gov revenue
Budget surplus
gov revenue > gov spending
Office for budget responsibility
provides forecasts for coming 5 years assessing impact of policy decisions
5 main roles of OBR
forecasts
evaluating performance
sustainability analysis
evaluation of risks
scrutinising tax
national debt
the cumulative total of past government borrowing which has to be repaid with interest
What do Keynesian economists believe in regards to budget balance
the government should ‘run a budget deficit’ to finance spending and stimulate economic growth
What is the problem with ‘running a budget deficit’
this increasing debt puts a greater burden on the population that will have to repay it in the future
Cyclical budget deficit
related to economic cycle and aggregate demand
During a recession, there is an increase in government expenditure, leading to a greater budget deficit
Structural budget deficit
not related to state of economy
uncompetitive industries
poor productivity
structural unemployment
Factors leading to structural budget deficit
ageing population (gov spends more on pensions)
tax avoidance—less revenue
underinvestment in training
Consequences of a budget deficit
National debt rises
Inflationary pressures
Economic shocks
lower Economic growth in the long run
Debt to GDP ratio
measures the size of a country’s debt in relation to size of the country’s economy
Problems with high debt to GDP ratio
Higher anual cost of repaying
Opportunity cost of what else could be spent on
Worsens UK’s credit rating
Crowding out