Fiscal Integration (III) Flashcards
What are the 2 elements that explain the public deficit?
- The Business Cycle or how the GDP growth is behaving in a specific point in time(+ or - output gap)
- The structural characteristics of the economy and its capacity to collect taxes
What is the Public Deficit Formula
Public deficit = contextual deficit + structural deficit
What is the formula for Structural deficit(balance)
Structural revenues-Structural spending
what is the structural revenues formula
actual revenues*(potential output/acutal output)**alfa
what is the structural spending formula
actual spending*(potential output/acutal output)**beta
Under which conditions is public deficit sustainable ?
- Intertemporal budget constraints
- The role of interest rates and GDP growth rate
explain Intertemporal budget constraint
The current stock of debt should equal the present value of all future
primary surpluses to avoid default.
explain The role of interest rates and GDP growth rate
If the ratio debt/GDP is constant debt level is sustainable. Since
GDP is rising, debt can also rise without generating weakness.
If r > g what must the government run ?
If r > g the government must run a surplus to control debt/GDP
If r < g what must the goverment run ?
If r < g the government can afford deficits
what’s the formula for Primary balance/GDP
(r-g) (debt / GDP) = Primary balance/GDP