Financial planning Flashcards
What is a sales forecast?
a projection of future sales revenue, often based on previous sales data
What are the four components a business may want to identify from a sales forecast?
- the trend
- seasonal fluctuations
- cyclical fluctuations
- random fluctuations
What are the advantages of sales forecasting?
- Informs cash flow forecast and gives clear idea of what cash inflows will be
- Plan orders of supplies and components
- Enables the business to ensure it has correct staff levels
- Enable business to ensure it has the capacity to meet projected orders
What are the factors affecting sales forecasts?
- Consumer trends
- Economic variables
- Actions of competitors
What are the difficulties of sales forecasting?
The variable nature of consumer tastes and preferences.
What is extrapolation?
Forecasting future trends based on past data
What is sales volume?
Its the number of units sold by a business, in units (ie: tonnes, number of, litres)
How do you calculate sales revenue?
Sales revenue is the value of output by a business.
Sales revenue: price x quantity of output
How do you calculate average costs?
output
What is contribution and how do you calculate it?
Contribution is the amount of money left over after variable costs have been subtracted from revenue. It CONTRIBUTES towards fixed costs and profit.
Total Contribution: total rev - total variable cost
or
Total Contribution: unit contribution x number of units
Unit Contribution: Selling price - variable costs
How do you calculate the break even point?
contribution
What is the break even point?
Total fixed costs + total variable costs = total revenue
What is the margin of safety?
The range of output over which a profit can be made
How do you find the margin of safety?
Its the distance between the break even level of output and the current (profitable) level of output.
What are the limits of break-even analysis?
- Assumes all output is sold so output = sales and no stocks are held
- Drawn on a set of conditions - can’t cope with changes
- Effectiveness depends on accuracy
- Multi-product businesses = different variable costs and prices