Financial Crisis Flashcards

1
Q

What are the 3 stages of a financial crisis?

A
  1. Initiation of financial crisis
  2. Banking crisis
  3. Debt deflation
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2
Q

What are the key points of stage 1 - initiation?

A

Managing financial innovation/liberalisation:

  • Financial innovation
  • Financial liberalisation
  • Credit boom
  • Deleveraging

Asset price boom and bust:

  • Fundamental economic values
  • Asset-price bubble
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3
Q

Stage 1

What is financial innovation?

A

When an economy produces new types of financial products

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4
Q

Stage 1

What is financial liberalisation?

A

The elimination of restrictions on financial markets

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5
Q

Stage 1

What is a credit boom?

A

A lending spree where financial institutions expand their lending at a rapid price

In 2008 - credit card debt was almost $8 trillion

Resulted from banks lending out CDOs and selling the debt to investors. The bank didn’t worry about the people defaulting on their debt because they could just sell it on. Made them less disciplined in adhering to strict lending standards.

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6
Q

Stage 1

What is deleveraging?

A

When financial institutions cut back on their lending because they have less capital

2007 crisis - Banks refused to lend money to other banks because they didn’t want any more CDO’s on their balance sheets in return

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7
Q

Stage 1

What is an asset’s fundamental economic value?

A

Value of assets based on realistic expectations of their future income streams

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8
Q

Stage 1

What is an asset-price bubble?

A

Increase in asset prices in the stock and real estate markets that are driven well above their fundamental economic values by investor psychology

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9
Q

Stage 2

What is a bank panic?

A

The simultaneous failure of many banks, as during a financial crisis

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10
Q

Stage 2

What is a fire sale?

A

Forced, rapid sales of assets to raise needed funds

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11
Q

What is a subprime mortgage?

A

Mortgages for borrowers with low credit ratings

Since the borrower has a larger-than-average risk of defaulting on the loan, higher interest rates are charged to compensate for carrying more risk

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12
Q

Causes

Subprime mortgages in the 2008 financial crisis?

A

NINJA loans were given out - mortgages to people with no income, no job, no assets

Interest rates were “teaser rates” which started low for the first few years but then ballooned over time making it hard to pay the principle of the mortgage

When the housing market started to decline, they found themselves underwater - where their home values was lower than their mortgage

Many of these mortgage owners defaulted, which caused problems on mortgage-backed securities

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13
Q

What is securitisation?

A

Process of bundling smaller loans (like mortgages) into standard debt securities

Making a security

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14
Q

Securitisation

What is a mortgage-backed security?

A

A mortgage loan is collateralised, the owner can have the property if the borrower defaults

Mortgage loans were bundled together into standard debt securities

These securities are then sold to investors who would receive the interest payments on the mortgage and take the risk

Selling mortgage securities provided a new source of funding these mortgages

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15
Q

Causes

Financial Engineering

Collateralised debt obligations (CDO’s)

A

Structured credit products that pay out income streams from a collection of underlying assets, designed to have particular risk characteristics that appeal to investors with different preferences

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16
Q

What is a Collateralised Debt Obligation (CDO)?

A

Repackaging asset pools - such as mortgages, bonds and loans - that are essentially debt obligations that serve as collateral for the CDO

Tranches in a CDO varied in their risk profiles

  • senior tranches = low risk, first priority on payback from the collateral in the event of default, lower coupon rates
  • junior tranches = high coupon rates, to compensate for the higher default risk
17
Q

What were the benefits for banks selling CDO’s to investors?

A
  • Gave them more cash to make more loans
  • Transfers the risk to the investor
  • Most profitable products for the banks to sell - boosted share prices and managers bonuses
  • They provided more liquidity in the economy (allowed banks and corporations to sell off their debt - freed up more capital to invest or loan)
18
Q

Stage 3 - Debt Deflation

What is debt deflation?

A

A situation in which a substantial decline in the price level sets in

Leading to further deterioration in firms net worth because of the increased burden of indebtedness

When debt reaches its peak, it can decrease the value of real currency

This slows down the economic growth

19
Q

What is a financial crisis?

A

A major disruption in financial markets that is characterised by sharp declines in asset prices and the failures of many financial and non-finanical firms