Financial Analysis Flashcards
Why is a financial analysis needed
To assess the financial impact of proposed capital expenditure
Part of business case
Building block in appraisal process
What is an economic appraisal
Looks at social impact of proposal
What does a financial analysis do
Considers direct financial impacts and affordability by assessing value of net cash flow from project implementation
5 objectives of financial analysis
Estimate cash flow for different options
Assess funding sources
Assess impact of each action re cost
Examine return for different funding
Calculate performance indicators such as NPV and FIRR
Projects under 1 million
Simplified cash flow analysis by sponsoring agency and do gross impact analysis
Projects over 1 million
Sponsoring agency does detailed discounted cash flow analysis and gross impact calculation and incremental impact calculation
Significant income or funding projects
Exchequer cash flow analysis with gross and incremental impact calculations
Main difference with financial and economic analysis
Economic Used by public sector and shadow prices included
Steps for projects under 1m
Capex - capital expenditure DT
Opex - operating costs
Maintenance costs
Decommissioning costs
Tax
Revenue losses of existing projects
Income generated by project
Subsidies
Residual terminal value
Exclusions for financial analysis of projects under 1m
Cost savings don’t count as benefit and reduction
Sunk costs - money already spent
Depreciation
What is optimism bias
People overestimate the likelihood of positive events
4 steps to manage practical application of financial analysis
1- accounting for optimism bias
2- include contingency cost
3-risk assessment
4- sensitivity tests
What’s the first step in a financial analysis in projects over 1m
Identify a Counter factual ie do nothing- do minimum
Second thing in FA of projects over 1m
Calculate gross and incremental cash flows
What do you need for a bottom up benchmarking
Existing design
What do you need for top down benchmarking
Compare Components of existing projects
What is residual value
Future value if good after depreciation
What is a Monte Carlo analysis done in risk assessment of projects more than 1m
A model used to predict the probability of a variety of outcomes when potential for random variables is present
Who sets the financial discount rate
National development finance agency