Financial Analysis Flashcards

1
Q

Why is a financial analysis needed

A

To assess the financial impact of proposed capital expenditure
Part of business case
Building block in appraisal process

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2
Q

What is an economic appraisal

A

Looks at social impact of proposal

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3
Q

What does a financial analysis do

A

Considers direct financial impacts and affordability by assessing value of net cash flow from project implementation

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4
Q

5 objectives of financial analysis

A

Estimate cash flow for different options
Assess funding sources
Assess impact of each action re cost
Examine return for different funding
Calculate performance indicators such as NPV and FIRR

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5
Q

Projects under 1 million

A

Simplified cash flow analysis by sponsoring agency and do gross impact analysis

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6
Q

Projects over 1 million

A

Sponsoring agency does detailed discounted cash flow analysis and gross impact calculation and incremental impact calculation

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7
Q

Significant income or funding projects

A

Exchequer cash flow analysis with gross and incremental impact calculations

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8
Q

Main difference with financial and economic analysis

A

Economic Used by public sector and shadow prices included

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9
Q

Steps for projects under 1m

A

Capex - capital expenditure DT
Opex - operating costs
Maintenance costs
Decommissioning costs
Tax
Revenue losses of existing projects
Income generated by project
Subsidies
Residual terminal value

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10
Q

Exclusions for financial analysis of projects under 1m

A

Cost savings don’t count as benefit and reduction
Sunk costs - money already spent
Depreciation

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11
Q

What is optimism bias

A

People overestimate the likelihood of positive events

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12
Q

4 steps to manage practical application of financial analysis

A

1- accounting for optimism bias
2- include contingency cost
3-risk assessment
4- sensitivity tests

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13
Q

What’s the first step in a financial analysis in projects over 1m

A

Identify a Counter factual ie do nothing- do minimum

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14
Q

Second thing in FA of projects over 1m

A

Calculate gross and incremental cash flows

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15
Q

What do you need for a bottom up benchmarking

A

Existing design

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16
Q

What do you need for top down benchmarking

A

Compare Components of existing projects

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17
Q

What is residual value

A

Future value if good after depreciation

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18
Q

What is a Monte Carlo analysis done in risk assessment of projects more than 1m

A

A model used to predict the probability of a variety of outcomes when potential for random variables is present

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19
Q

Who sets the financial discount rate

A

National development finance agency

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20
Q

Things to watch out for in FA

A

Double accounting
Include vat
Using incorrect discount rate
Mismatching real and nominal values

21
Q

Behaviour bias

A

People make decisions which affect society

22
Q

What are contingency costs

A

Unforeseen events

23
Q

What is dead weight

A

Outcome that would’ve happened without intervention

24
Q

What is decision gate

A

4 milestones to approving authority to progress refine or abandon proposals

25
Q

Demand analysis

A

Assessment of forecast of use of a new asset informed by future demand and demographics

26
Q

What is discounted cash flow analysis

A

Valuation method to estimate value of investment based on future cash flow

27
Q

What is discounting

A

Allows benefits and costs from different time periods be compared by expressing value in present terms

28
Q

What is displacement

A

Creation of new output in one area leads to loss of output in another

29
Q

What is ECBR

A

Economic cost benefit ratio
Calculation is sum of present value of benefits divided by sum of present value of costs

30
Q

What is economic net present value

A

Sum of discounts cash flows over appraisal period

31
Q

What is economic payback period

A

EPP is the amount of time to recover an investment until it breaks even

32
Q

What is economic rate of return

A

Discount rate over life of project at which costs and benefits are equal

33
Q

Evaluation

A

The process of assessing an intervention to determine its efficiency and effectiveness in achieving an objective

34
Q

EAP

A

External assurance process is for projects greater than 100 m has independent reviews on cost, risk and ability to deliver

35
Q

What is financial benefit cost ratio

A

Shows relationship between costs and benefits of project in FA

36
Q

FIRR

A

Financial internal rate of return is the discount rate at which costs and benefits ratio discounted over project lifecycle are equal

37
Q

What is NPV

A

Net present value sum of total discounted financial benefits minus total discounted financial costs

38
Q

What is MPAG

A

Major projects advisory group supports DPER in managing external assurance

39
Q

Logic path model

A

Map out cause effect relationships between results and impacts

40
Q

Medium term exchequer envelopes

A

Rolling multi annual capital allocations

41
Q

Opportunity cost

A

Value of resource at its most productive alternative use

42
Q

Non voted expenditure

A

Money paid out of central fund which has no annual reference in Dail

43
Q

PPP

A

Public private partnership long term partnership between public sector and private company to deliver services not assets

44
Q

Public spending code

A

Sets value for money requirements for capital expenditure projects

45
Q

Proportionality

A

Complexity of appraisal should match project

46
Q

Reference class forecasting

A

Method of estimating project costs which mitigates optimism bias based on actual outcomes of similar

47
Q

Virement

A

Savings from one subhead to cover excess expenditure on another subhead

48
Q

Strategic assessment report

A

First phase of lifecycle

49
Q

Switching value

A

Required change in input to render project NOV neutral