final review Flashcards

1
Q

total dollar return formula

A

total dollar return = (end price - beg price) + total dividends in the period

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2
Q

percent return formula, capital gain formula, dividend yield formula

A

percent return = [(end price - beg price)/beg price] + (dividends/beg price) OR capital % + dividend %

capital return % = (end price - beg price) / beg price

dividend yield = dividends / beg price

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3
Q

steps when finding CAGR

A

step 1) find the % return (monthly)
step 2) do compounded return by 1+return (monthly)
step 3) use product function -1 for comp. return
step 4) convert into annual frequency (ex. months -> year)
step 5) use product function return and new year figure to find cagr –> (1+comp. return)^(1/year)-1

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4
Q

how do you find the annual dividend yield

A

(1+Dividend Yield)^(1/years)-1

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5
Q

For each stock how do you calculate the expected return, level of risk, and the annualized Sharpe ratio

A

Step 1] monthly mean return: average monthly return
Step 2] Std dev monthly = STDEV.S function
Step 3] monthly sharpe = mean - risk free rate / std. dev
Step 4] annualized sharpe = monthly share * sqrt(12)
Step 5] z,score = x - mean / std dev
Step 6] P(-0.05) = NORMDIST function

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6
Q

If you are given probabilities and weights - how do you calculate the expected return and standard deviation for the investment

A

step 1] turn return and probability into decimals
step 2] to find expected return do sumproduct function on the decimal forms of both variables
step 3] compute (x-mean)^2
step 4] compute dec.prob x (x-mean)^2
step 5] use sum function on probx(x-mean)2 to find the variance
step 6] to find standard deviation do variance^0.5
step 6] sharpe ratio = expected - risk free rate / std dev

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7
Q

what does a negative sharpe ratio mean?

A

a negative sharpe ratio indicates that the investment is below the risk free rate and therefore no investor would do that because they have no return

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8
Q

what do we use to measure risk

A

standard deviation

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9
Q

what impacts asset returns

A

1) new information
2 ) liquidity

standard deviation quantifies how often and how much investors recieve unexpected information

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10
Q

when do we use p(x) and 1-p(x) for probability returns

A

p(x) = return less or equal to
1-p(x) = return greater than

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11
Q

sharpe ratio

A

sharpe ratio = (expected - risk free)/std dev

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12
Q

Comparing the riskiness of different stocks: “what do we look at”

which security demonstrated greatest risk – largest standard deviation

which stock produced the best risk adjusted return – highest sharpe ratio

which stock has the greatest probability of a substantial negative monthly retirn - highest prob from x< -5%

which stock has the greatest porbability of a substantial positive monthly return – highest prob from x> 5%

A

which security demonstrated greatest risk – largest standard deviation

which stock produced the best risk adjusted return – highest sharpe ratio

which stock has the greatest probability of a substantial negative monthly retirn - highest prob from x< -5%

which stock has the greatest porbability of a substantial positive monthly return – highest prob from x> 5%

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13
Q

systematic risk vs idiosyncratic risk

A

systematic = market wide
idiosyncratic = firm specific and is diversifiable

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14
Q

how does adding unrelated assets to your portfolio decrease idiosyncratic risk

A

Allows us to control volatility as when there is fluctuations in the portfolio it is not majorly impacted as then some assets go down, some will go up essentially offsetting the volatility

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15
Q

what risk are investors rewarded for

A

investors are only rewarded for systematic risk that they bear since idiosyncratic risk is diversifiable

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16
Q

how do you know if a portfolio is underperforming or overperforming

A

step 1) find the beta of the portfolio: (correlation * portfolio B std deviation) / market port std dev

2) find the fair value and outperforming return
fair value = beta * (market portfolio return - asset c return) + asset c return

Outperform = portfolio B expected return - fair return

17
Q

how do you find the beta of a portfolio

A

average all the individual asset betas

18
Q

How is relatedness measured

A

Relatedness is measured using correlation, we use a correlation matrix to determine stock relatedness

19
Q

how do you calculate the standard deviation of a portfolio

A

standard deviation = weight on market portfolio x standard deviation of market portfolio

20
Q

what is a derivative

A

a derivative is a contract between two or more parties whose value is based on an agreed upon underlying financial asset

21
Q

whats the difference between being in a long and short position

A

long = agreed buy in the future
short = agreed to sell in the future

22
Q

what is the strike price

A

strike price is the price at which the contract both parties have agreed to transact

strike price = market price -> no value to either party
strike price < market price –> value for long (buyer) party
strike price > market price –> value for short (seller) party

23
Q

what are some advantages of derivative contracts

A

1) enable hedging which stabilizes cash flows
2) allow investors to more easily realize short positions
3) Mitigate recall risk
4) Lower transaction costs compared to short sale contracts
5) highly leveraged
6) less visible - attractive if want to hide trades

24
Q

what are futures/forwards

A

binding contract (obligation) to buy/sell an asset in the future at a price set today – settled monetarily not physically

calculation = strike price x (1+r)^time
r = opportunity cost

25
Q

describe the difference between forwards and futures

A

forwards:
- fully customizable / non-standard
- counterparty risk
- unregulated

futures:
- no counterparty risk
- standardized
- regulated

long and short transact with a clearing house

26
Q

what are options

A

options - one party has the right but not the obligation to transact in the future “option” to transact or not to transact at their own discretion

types of options:
european - only exercised at time of maturity
american - any time prior or at maturity

27
Q

call option vs put option

A

call option - right but not obligation to buy an asset
put option - right but not obligation to sell an asset

28
Q

over the counter derivatives vs exchange traded derivatives

A

“OTC derivatives, such as forward contracts, have the advantage of specificity, the contract can be tailored to the exact specifications desired to the firm in regard to quantity, quality and timing of delivery. OTC contracts can also be specified for physical delivery so that the contract can be utilized to meet the demands of the supply chain. Major downside is the firm must accept counterparty risk.

Exchange traded derivatives have the major benefit of being counterparty risk free as they are settled by a clearinghouse. The contracts are standardize so the firm must deal with pre-determined contract size, timing and quality. Most exchange traded derivatives are monetarily settled so they can’t be used to acquire inputs or sell outputs which adds to the complexity of setting up the hedge.”

29
Q

what are the key factors that influence the proportion of forwards, futures, and options in a companys portfolio

A

If counterparties are available within the supply chain or as customers with low default risk then forward contracts are an option. Futures avoid the risk of counterparty risk and are good if the hedge needs of the company are common and align with the standardize timing and quantity on the exchange. Options are useful if there is uncertainty regarding the quantity that needs to be hedged as there is flexibility to not exercise the contract if the hedge is not needed. Options have the added benefit of providing protection from downside risk while allowing the firm to realize the upside related to changes in prices. However, this flexibility and upside potential comes at the costs of having to pay the option premium to enter the contract.

30
Q

why would a company select a hedging program

A

Hedge programs have several benefits including stabilizing cash flows which reduces financial distress likelihood. Jointly lower default risk and consistency in profits contribute to reduced borrowing costs and reduce the likelihood of need to raise costly emergency financing. Hedging removes the influence of financial risk on the profitability of the firm, making it easier to assess the efficacy of management. Drawbacks include the deadweight cost of implementing the hedge program from the perspective of human resources costs, buying and selling costs and option premiums. Derivatives complicate the financial statements of the firm making it more difficult for investors to value the firm and creating tax and accounting complications. Finally, hedge programs uncouple the firms performance from the financial risk in their industry which may be the very exposure investors are seeking, potentially reducing investor demand.