Final Flashcards
Can air pollution transport around the globe?
Yes
What is the pollutant behavior at the local scale
- Path is given by wind speed and direction.
- Pollutants are dispersed by turbulence
What is the mixing layer
is the unstable atmospheric layer that extends from the surface up to the base of stable layer (inversion).
Mixing depth
is the vertical extent of the mixing layer.
How does the mixing layer form?
From the surface upward
- Surface based inversion
- Sunrise causes the surface of ground to heat.
- Mid a.m. causes more surface heating
- Afternoon vertical mixing
Explain how surface based inversion effects mixing layer formation
early in the morning inversion starts at ground surface
Explain how Sunrise effects mixing layer formation
surface heating, shallow unstable layer erodes inversion from the ground upwards (mixing in a shallow layer)
Explain how Mid a.m. effects mixing layer formation
more surface heating, unstable layer grows thicker as inversion is eroded from the ground up (mixing in a deeper layer)
Explain how afternoon effects mixing layer formation
vertical mixing virtually unlimited: ground based inversion completely eroded from below.
What factors control air pollution
- wind
- stability
- topography
What do high wind speeds affect?
Transport and dispersion
how fast and how far the pollutants move downwind
What would faster winds imply with regards to the transport and dispersion of pollutants
Concentrations will be lower because:
- Increased spreading pollutants along transport direction farther.
- Increased dispersion due to turbulent mixing caused by more interaction with surface features.
how far up vertically is considered near surface
<1000m
What does near surface stability depend on
Change in temp with height (ELR)
When is the ELR stable
Night/early morning when the sky is clear
What does a stable ELR mean
Vertical motion is suppressed (no or little mixing)
When is the ELR unstabe
Hot afternoons
What does an unstable ELR mean?
Strong vertical motions (intense mixing)
What is the plume behavior when: Inversion layer > Hstack
Little up and down motion (Fanning Plume)
-This happens in early morning when there is strong surface inversion.
What is the plume behavior when: Inversion layer above Hstack
Pollutants mix downward (Fumigation Plume)
This happens in late morning due to surface inversion destabilizing
What is the plume behavior when:Mixing height increases very high above stack
Enhanced vertical dispersion. Rising and sinking air make wavy path (Looping plume)
This happens in afternoon due to the inversion disappearing
Describe what a fanning plume looks like
Flat line of smoke just below temperature inversion
Describe what a fumigation plume looks like
Smoke fans out from top of the temperature inversion to the ground
Describe fanning as a plume behavior
- Caused by stable (inversion) with light winds, no or little vertical movement,
- plume spread only horizontal (from the top it looks like a fan).
Little or now smoke near the ground (unless there is a hill)
Describe fumigation as a plume behavior
-Caused by mixing layer grows upwards with continued surface heating, reaches elevated fanning plume, rapidly mixes concentrated plume to surface.
-Ground level concentrations:
near zero, followed by high “burst” for short-period, then concentrations drop (as mixed layer continues to grow higher)
Describe looping as a plume behavior
- Caused by Unstable conditions, strong vertical mixing (updrafts and downdrafts).
- Plume has up and down wavy shape.
-Ground level concentrations:
high at a localized spot near stack. Farther away, low
What are some factors that affect dispersion of pollutants from chimneys
- Temp
- exit velocity
- wind speed/direction,
- chimney height
Why do pollutants get trapped downhill at night?
Cold air drains downhill at night which strengthens existing surface inversion and traps pollutants.
This carries pollutants from surrounding hillsides and traps them in the valley
What is the urban heat effect
Urban infrastructures release heat during night, warm the city’s air
This Temperature gradient causes a country breeze, and bring rural pollution: plumes, pollen, rural dust etc… into the city.
What would an episode of major air pollution due to?
combination of:
- Many sources of air pollution
- High pressure system with light winds and poor vertical mixing causing atmospheric stagnation
- Light wind
- A shallow mixing layer
- Geographical features (e.g. valley)
- Local condition
What are some local conditions that could cause severe pollution at night
- clear skies: ground-based inversion with stable conditions, no mixing of pollutants emitted near ground
- valleys/basins, pollutants accumulate at bottom due to drainage flows
- if urban area large enough, heat island effect can pull pollutants from rural areas into core and re-circulate
What are some local conditions that could cause severe pollution in the day
-clear skies, surface heating may not completely erode inversion (cooler seasons), thus trapping pollutants in mixing layer
Why is weather forecasting important
- Saves lives
- Saves property from being damaged
- Informs general public
What does diurnal mean?
Happening during the day instead of at night
What is involved in weather forecasting>
- Establishing current state
- Data centers
- Analysis products
- Remote sensing
- numerical weather prediction (NWP) Models
- Local conditions
- Forecaster
What does establishing current state mean in regards to weather forecasting?
Observations
World Meteorological Organization (procedures for observation):
- surface (temp, dew point, winds, pressure, clouds, precipitation, visibility) every hour at observation stations
- upper level (upper level balloons, Doppler radar)
- Satellite (visible, IR, water vapour)
What does data centers mean in regards to weather forecasting?
collect and distribute observations:
NCEP (National Centers for Environmental Prediction) USA
What does Analysis Products mean in regards to weather forecasting?
(00, 06, 12, 18 hour intervals)
- Weather charts: surface maps, upper air isobaric maps and soundings
- Canada: Canadian Meteorological Centre produces analysis products
What does Remote Sensing mean in regards to weather forecasting?
Satellite, Doppler Radar
What does Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models mean in regards to weather forecasting?
Canada: Canadian Meteorological Centre
-Mathematical equations describing how the atmosphere/atmospheric processes changes over time (complex and solved by supercomputers using current data to predict future events/ state of atmosphere) Produces prognostic charts (charts to predict things)
What does Local Conditions: mean in regards to weather forecasting?
consideration of unique local characteristics
What does Forecaster mean in regards to weather forecasting?
synthesis of all information – forecasts disseminated by web and media
What are some other examples of Numerical weather prediction (NWP) models?
- General Circulation model (GCM) -> Coast resolution/global coverage and predicts deviation from average conditions
- Regional (limited area) model -> Fine resolution and forecasts precise weather conditions
- Model ensemble ->Combination of multiple models or one model with different initial conditions
How do models work?
Equations are translated into complex software using programming language (ex. FORTRAN)
- Surface and upper air observations are fed into equations
- Equations are solved for small time increments (e.g. 5 min) covering large geographical areas and vertical levels
- supercomputers solve it and produce outputs for post processing and visualization
What are some uncertainties with forecasting?
- Flaws in models
- Resolution
- Model sensitivity
- Inaccurate initial condition
- Representation of physical processes
- Local effects
What are some simple forecasting methods?
- Persistence Forecasting
- Steady state or trend forecasting
- Analogue Method
- Climatological Method
Explain persistence forecasting?
future weather will be same as present weather. If snowing today, then snow tomorrow as well.
Explain steady state/ trend forecasting?
moving weather systems or fronts continue to move at constant speed and same direction.
Explain Analogue method
forecast weather associated with recurring weather patterns on a weather chart (pattern recognition)
Explain climatological method
forecast based on past climatic conditions
What are some local influences on forecast for Vancouver island?
- Elevation (Rain here but snow at higher elevations)
- Rain shadow (Sooke hills get more rain then oak bay)
- Coastal effects (i.e. sea breeze winds different then inland, Cooler/less variation in daytime temp compared to inland)
- Vallleys, mountains, land use (Forest vs. Open) and urban heat
What are the different time ranges for forecasts?
- Now cast
- Short-Range forecast
- Medium-Range forecast
- Long-range forecast
- Seasonal outlook