Final Flashcards
Potential availability of uncultivated land
Sub-Saharan Africa, 200 M ha
Latin America and the Caribbean, 125
Rest of world, 100
Increasing food supply
The target, 1.3% of current yield trends per year to 2030
Why do we consider potential yield and farm healed?
Deals gap = potential yield - farmer yield
Expressed throughout as percentage of farm yield
Potential yield acts as a ceiling for farm yield
What is the difference between spring and winter wheat
40% winter, 60% spring
Winter wheat
Grown in temperate cropping systems, cold enough to send wheat into dormancy, warm enough to support the crop. Higher-year-old because dormant. Extends its growth duration
Springwheat
Grown at low latitudes in the winter, grown at high latitudes in the spring
Springwheat needs a warm and wet winter which is why you have the seasons changing for latitudes
Wheat production stats, Area, Farm yield, gap, trends,
producers
Production, 660 MT Area 220 MH essay, about equally split between developed and developing countries Farm yield, 3 t/ha yield gap, 50% Area trend, -.2% growth per year Yield trend, +1% per year Top producers, China India US Russia
What is a mega environment
Group of locations consistently share the same best types of plant varieties
Rice global statistics, production, area, farm yield, yield gap, area trend, yield trend, top producers
Production, 680 mt Area, 160 MHA Farm healed, 4.3 t/ha Yield gap, 72% Area trend, +0.3% growth per year Yield trend, +1% per year Top producers, China India Indonesia
Maize global statistics, production, area, farm yield, yield gap, area Trend, yield trend, top producers
Production, 830 Mt Area, 165 MHA Farm yield, 5.3 t/ha Yield gap, 100% Area trend, +.9% growth per year Yields trend +1.5% per year Top producers, US China Brazil
Raising yields, lowering YG and raising PY
About 50% of games in production can come from closing gaps in rice wheat and maze.
A yield gap of 30% is economically optimal. Getting below that level depends on the weather and prices, which farmers don’t know in advance. Or there are a lot of little things happening on the farm that don’t warrant the attention or time. There’s too much cost for not much benefit.
MME7, United States, farm yield, gap, evolution of US corn yields and practices
Farm yield, 10 t/ha
Gap, 50%
Nearly all us corn is hybrid (96%)
Soy global stats. Production, area, farm yield, yield gap, area trend, yield trends, top producers
Production, 240 MT Area, 100 MHA Farm yield, 2.4 t/ha Yield gap, 30% Area trend, +1% growth per year Yield a trend +1.3% per year Top producers, US Brazil Argentina Fastest growth in production Most protein per Hector
Farm yields important points
Closing your apps are the quickest and surest way to raise farm yield.
In areas with low yield gaps the only way to raise farm yield is by increasing potential yield
Important equations
YG(%)=(PY-FY)/FY*100
Or
YG=PY-FY
FY2/FY1=(1+G1)/(1+G2)
What are the two general types of yield gap constraints?
One. Technical/proximate constraints related to land, crops, inputs
Two. Constraints relating to general farmer circumstances and capabilities
Methods to study causes of yield gaps
Farmers surveys
Expert surveys
Crop modeling
Spatial analysis
Factors affecting PY
Genetics Temperature Carbon dioxide Radiation Water limited PY, rainfall, irrigation Nutrient limited PY, soil degradation
Causes in wheat systems, tactical or proximate constraints, which are potential yields versus yield gap issues?
Heat stress, weeds, diseases/pests
Heat stress, YP
Weeds, YP
Diseases/pests, YG
Wheat in Asia, causes of yield gap
Biotic stresses like weeds and diseases are the main issues in Asia
Causes in wheat systems Australia
Yield gap in Australia grows with the amount of rainfall
Farmers usually add the economic optimum level of fertilizer for dryers as weather forecasts uncertain
this makes crops nutrient deficient in wet years
Causes of YG, bottom line
Many factors are involved in creating yield gaps
Often don’t know which factors are the most important
In situations of low and/or uncertain returns it’s not worth it for farmers to spend money on reducing gaps
At the same time, there’s evidence that gaps are closing in many systems so progress can be made
Approaches to lowering yield gaps
Agronomic. Improved machinery especially for smallholders Improved nutrient management Integrated pest control Weather forecasts
Breeding.
Host plant resistance to disease and pests
Herbicide a tolerant crops
Gaps are closing the most rapidly in areas with rapid GMO adoption
How potential yield has increased since 1960 for four major crops
Wheat, increased harvest index
Rice, increased harvest index
Corn,
Temperate, hybrids and denser sewings lead to more biomass
Tropical, increased harvest index under stress
Soy, increased biomass and harvest index
What is a hybrid crop?
seed produced by cross-pollinating plants. this produces a mixture of different plants with different traits.
Hybrid corn
Corn is cross pollinating, usually pollinated by another individual.
Hybrid vigor
- create in bread corn by forcing the plant to self pollinate
- crossing two in breads often results in a higher-yielding variety
- however as cross pollination vigor decreases
- incentive for companies to produce hybrid seed
Almost all core and in the US is hybrid
Cross-pollination happens a lot for corn but this means that the varieties are always changing different heights maturities etc.
Being able to buy hybrids and makes it easier to create hybrid vigor