Final Flashcards
Manipulation of Risk: Schelling
War is allowed by uncertainty and irrationality. Nuclear Weapons increase the risk associated war so much that war becomes about making credible threats to stumble into war rather than actually attempting to get into a war
Brinkmanship
Increasing risk of getting into war
Deterrent Threats
Threatening to
Limited War
Major War
Resolve
Fortna 2003: Terrorism and Extremism
The typical narratives about terrorism being for the weak or for those under pressure does not hold true when tested (she compared diff civil war rebel groups)
Kalyvas and Ballcell: Internal Conflict
The Cold War impacted the state of internal conflicts and the military technologies available to both states and rebel groups.
Peace Keeping
Maintaining an existing peace
Peace Enforcement
Using force to create a peace - must be more force than both sides
Betts 1994: Intervention
The UN (and the US’s) goal of limited and impartial intervention is naturally ineffective in ending wars because a limited biased intervention could create peace by allowing one side to win and a total intervention is needed to hold the peace if a side is not picked.
Fortna and Howard: Peace Keeping
Peace Keeping generally does make peace more durable but questions remain about how, why and when.
Responsibility to Protect Doctrine (in 3 parts)
- States have the responsibility to protect citizens from terrible
- If the state is unable to do so, international community has a responsibility to assist
- If state is unwilling or perpetrator, international community has a responsibility to INTERVENe
Preventative Humanitarian Intervention: Paris
Justifying humanitarian intervention can be complex and military intervention can be messy - it’s hard to see the benefits. Not destined to fail but def destined to flounder.
McManus: Nuclear Revolution
The efficacy of resolve has much to do with a states ability to follow through. This ability to follow through is determined by (1) Military Strength (2) Veto Players and (3) Political Security a leader has
Domestic Audience Cost Theory
Georghe on the Nuclear Market
Competition in the market largely accounts for why the number of nuclear weapons states since 1974 has remained small. She explains how the market is a buyers market but it is also characterized by thwarters (great powers)
Sagan : Why Nuclear Weapons
Three theories: Security purposes, Domestic politics, and norms model (to be a successful state, u need nukes except not anymore bc norms are changing)
Modi’s Dilemma
Modi faces a dilemma as China’s actions become more aggressive. Indian’s economy and military are demonstratively weaker than China’s - yet peaceful solutions that keep India (and Narendra Modi’s) image and dignity intact seem unlikely.
Conventional Warfare
Think the American Civil War, think two relatively professional military group
Irregular Warfare
Taliban vs the US military.. Guerrilla war fare. Low tech does NOT mean lack of advantage
Symmetric Non Conventional
Equal tech - well armed gov and well armed rebel groups
Crossed Swords
Pakistan’s split into two: cyclone, economic disparity, one unit system
Operation Searchlight
Beckley
The US is not in decline and is actually doing better in comparison to China
State
has a monopoly over force in a territory
Terrorism
Taking action against a civilian populace to coerce another group. Terrorism is psychological, performative, systemic and planned. It also is difficult to define in exact terms.
Rappaport’s 4 Waves of Terrorism
Anarchist, Nationalist, New Left, Religious
Systemic Challenge
Impacts entire system and merits fundamental changes
Extremism
Different from terrorism more broad and usually to do with a group superiority complex
Countering Extremism
Preventing radicalization through education and community involvement
Countering Terrorism
Targetted strikes, intelligence gathering, disrupting networks