Final Flashcards
What does ENSO stand for
El Nino Southern Oscillation
El Nino
(“The Little Boy”)
Refers to the weakening or potentially even the reversal of the easterly trade winds along the equator, allowing warm water from the western Pacific Ocean to move east to produce warmer than normal sea surface temperatures in the central to eastern Pacific Ocean
La Nina
(“The Little Girl”)
Refers to the normal or “stronger than normal” conditions where easterly trade winds push the warm water of the Pacific to the west, allowing upwelling of cold deep water to occur in the eastern tropical Pacific Ocean, causing colder than normal sea surface temperatures in this region
Teleconnection
An event or process that influences weather/climate pattern 1000s of miles away or even globally
Southern Oscillation Index
Negative Phase
- Below normal air pressure at Tahiti and above at Darwin
- Means warmer than normal water in the eastern Pacific (warm water means warmer, rising air and lower atmospheric pressure) and colder than normal in the western Pacific -> El Nino
Southern Oscillation Index
Positive Phase
- Above normal air pressure at Tahiti and below at Darwin
- Means colder than normal water in the eastern Pacific (cold water means colder, sinking air and higher atmospheric pressure) and warmer than normal in the western Pacific -> La Nina
Equatorical Southern Oscillation Index
Uses pressure anomalies over Indonesia and the far eastern Pacific over the equator
Weather
The day to day variation in sky conditions, temperature, precipitation, wind, etc.
Climate
The distribution of a particular weather variable over a period of time
(normally 30 years)
Climate Normal
A 30 year average of a weather/climate variable (eg. temperature)
- Also includes degree days, probabilities, standard deviations, etc.
Plate Tectonics Theory
A theory that states that the outer portion of Earth is made up several individual plates, which move in relation to one another upon a partically molten zone below
- As the plates moves, so do the continents
Whats climate change, specifically?
Its a change in the distribution of a variable
Milankovitch Cycle
Systematic changes in 3 elements of Earth’s Orbit
- Eccentricity
- Obliquity
- Precession
Eccentricity
Refers to the shape of Earth’s orbit around the sun
(ie how much the orbit is squashed)
Obliquity
Refers to axial tilt of Earth with respect to its orbital place
- Shift from 22.1-24.5 and back again
Precession
Wobbling of Earth’s axis like spinning top that winding down
How does La Nina Influence Weather
Blocking high pressure pushes the colder air towards northern part of the United States
How does El NinoInfluence Weather
Low pressure pushes the warm air towards the southern part of the United States
Below Normal Air Pressure at Tahiti and Above Normal at Darwin
Negative Phase
(El Nino)
(Lower Atmospheric Pressure)
Above Normal Air Pressure at Tahiti and Below Normal at Darwin
Positive Phase
(La Nina)
(Higher Atmospheric Pressure)
Volcanoes
Large eruptions eject sulfur dioxide into the stratosphere where it turns into sulfate aerosols that block a fraction of incoming solar radiation from reaching Earth’s surface
Fossil Fuels
Use of coal, oil and natural gas releases carbon dioxide and potentially methane into the atmosphere
Land Use/Land Cover (LULC) Change
Changes in land cover/land use also influence climate by changing the absorptive properties of the surface
Model Parameterization
Parameterization in a weather or climate model within numerical weather prediction is a method of replacing processes that are too small-scale or complex to be physically represented in the model by a simplified process
Climate Change Feedback
Physical process that can amplify (positive) or decreases (negative) the influences of climate change (CO2 increases)
Positive Feedbacks
(Climate Change Feedback)
- Sea Ice Melting
- Permafrost Melting
- Forest Fires
- Water Vapor Feedback
“Tipping Point”
The level at which an effect of climate change causes an irreversible (or at least a very large) effect on a earth system
Model Resolution
How much spatial and temporal detail the model simulates
Model Guidance
NWP models do not produce the exact forecast you receive. There’s always a human component to the forecast
- Models only produce what is called “guidance”
What’s ET
ET refers to the water that is evaporated from the surface into the atmosphere
(evaporation + transpiration)
Types of ET
Actual or Crop ET
- Crop “water usage”
Types of ET
Reference ET
- Potential ET