Factors Affecting ER Flashcards
what are the 5 factors affecting ER
- relative inflation
- movement in ToT
- International Capital Flows
- Domestic Economic Growth
- World Economic Growth
- Relative Interest Rate
relative inflation: describe
inflation reduces competitivness in the traded goods sectors. high inflation decreases AUD
movement in ToT: describe
ToT rises AUd rises
International Capital Flows: descrive
if investors like Aus, demand for AUD increases and AUd appreciates
Domestic Economic Growth: descrive
strong growth in Aus, increases quantity of imports S(aud) increases so AUd depreciates.
It also attracts foreign investment so it appreciates
World Economic Growth: describe
increase in global GDP increases commodity prices aud appreciates
Relative Interest Rate: descrive
if USA rates increase relative to AUs, capital inflwo to Aus falls and outflow rises. D(AUD) falls and S(AUD) increases = strong depreciation
what are the 2 main factors
- commodity prices
2. Interest rate Differential with USA
describe the relationship between commodity prices and er
strong positive correlation between com prices and AUD movement
how is the interest rate differential measured
measured by difference in 10 year government bond rates between two countries (Aus - US
what is the relationship between IRD and AUD
strong positive relationship
how does IRD affect flow of foreign investment
investors look for highest return, if interest rates in Aus fall relative to US, IRD falls AUD falls (investors leave)