Exchange Rates and Calculations Flashcards
Exchange rates
The value of one currency expressed in terms of another currency
Exchange Rate Index
An exchange rate index expresses one currency against a collection/basket of other currencies
Fixed/Pegged Exchange Rate System
- Where the central bank intervenes in the market to ensure the exchange rate is exactly fixed to a predetermined value of currency
TERMINOLOGY USED:
Revaluation (increase in value)
Devaluation (decrease in value)
Floating/Flexible Exchange Rate Systems
- Where the forces of demand and supply determine the price of the currency
TERMINOLOY USED:
Appreciation (increase in value)
Depreciation (decrease in value)
Managed Float Exchange Rate Systems
- Where the currency is able to float within a narrow band of the other currency. It provides stability
TERMINOLOGY USED:
Appreciation (increase in value)
Depreciation (decrease in value)
Pros of High Exchange Rates
- Downward pressure on inflation
- More imports can be bought
- Forces domestic producers to improve their efficiency because price is high, producer have to focus on quality to compensate for high price
Disadvantages of High Exchange Rates
- Damage to export industries
- Damage to domestic industries who cannot compete with cheaper foreign goods
- Unemployment problems if it continues in the longer term
Pros of Low Exchange Rates
- Greater employment in export industries
- Greater employment in domestic industries
- Improves employment
Cons of Low Exchange Rates
- Inflation
- Competitors may complain
Pros of Flexible Exchange Rates
- Automatic adjustment using forces of demand and supply to return to a stable level
- No large foreign exchange reserves required
- Free to set monetary policy and interest rates for domestic issues
Cons of Flexible Exchange Rates
Uncertainty
- Business planning
- Investment
- Speculation
No discipline required for interest rates
Affected by more than just supply and demanded
- Government Intervention
- World Events
May worsen inflation
Pros of Fixed Exchange Rates
Certainty and stability
- Business planning
- Investment
Provides discipline
- Money supply
- Interest rates
Solves inflationary problems
Reduces speculation in the forex market
Cons of Fixed Exchange Rates
- No automatic adjustment
- Requires large foreign exchange reserves
- Monetary policy may be inappropriate
- Imported inflation
- Setting the level is complex
- If it is too low (e.g. China) there is international disagreement
- Problems with overvaluation and undervaluation
Factors that cause an increase in supply
Increase in Supply:
- Increase in imports
- Foreign country interest rate is high → Increase in domestic investment abroad
- Decrease in foreign inflation rate
- Speculators believe that domestic currency will fall (depreciation)
- Domestic country sells domestic currency (increase in foreign reserves)
- Rise in real income
Factors that cause a decrease in supply
Decrease in Supply:
- Decrease in domestic imports
- Foreign country interest rate is low → Decrease in domestic investment abroad
- Increase in foreign inflation rate
- Falling real income