Exchange Rates: 4.3 Flashcards
Define exchange rates.
The value of one currency to another
Define freely floating exchange rates.
Demand and supply forces determine the equilibrium for exchange rates
Define fixed exchange rates.
- Maintain a fixed exchange rate pegged to another currency
- Done by manipulating D&S using foreign reserves
Factors of an increasing floating exchange rate
Demand increases
- increase in relative interest rates
- speculation
- increase in FDI investments
- rise in incomes abroad
- increase in competitiveness of exports
Factors of a decreasing floating exchange rate
Supply increases
- decrease in relative interest rates
- speculation
- firms moving away from domestic country
- increase in incomes domestically
Impacts of exchange rate
Strong currency - SPICED
* Strong pound, imports cheap, exports dearer
* Imports: demand increases, expenditure increases
* Exports: demand falls, expenditure falls
* (X-M) falls, AD falls
* Reduction in demand-pull inflation
Weak currency - WIDEC
* Weak, imports dearer, exports cheap
* Imports: demand falls, expenditure falls
* Exports: demand increases, expenditure increases
* (X-M) increases, AD increases
* Stimulates demand-pull inflation
* expensive imports -> expensive inputs/raw materials -> COP increases -> cost-push inflation
Evaluation of exchange rates
- depends on PED of exports and imports
- depends on the size of appreciation/depreciation
- trade barriers (foreign countries may be restricting domestic countries from exporting due to trade protectionism)
- offset by other factors
Pros and cons of freely floating exchange rate
Pros
- no need for gov intervention
- automatic correction of current account imbalances
- no need to hold foreign currency reserves
- gov can focus on using fiscal and monetary policies to deal with domestic problems
Cons
- sudden fluctuations cause instability
- uncertainty for firms, importers, exporters
- currency speculation creates more fluctuations
Pros and cons of fixed exchange rates
Pros
- Firms, importers, and exporters have a high degree of certainty over future exchange rates, positively benefit investment and trade
- More difficult for currency speculation
Cons
- Need for constant intervention by the central bank
- Need to hold foreign currency reserves
- Loss of monetary policy to deal with domestic problems