Exchange Rates Flashcards
Direct Quote
Domestic currency per unit of foreign currency
Indirect Quote
Foreign currency per unit of domestic currency
Relative Exchange Rates
RER= P/(Pᶠ/E) = (E×P)/Pᶠ
Pᶠ is foreign prices
P is domestic prices
E is exchange rate
RER > 1 → foreign goods are cheap in real terms
RER < 1 → foreign goods are expensive in real terms
Increase in RER = appreciation
Decrease in RER = depreciation
Law of One Price
Idea that tradeable goods should sell for the same price everywhere, once prices are denominated in a common currency
p=Pᶠ/E
Absolute PPP Hypothesis
Law of one price holds for all goods
Relative PPP
Requires growth in RER to equal 0
Relative PPP →
o Domestic currency appreciates if foreign inflation exceeds domestic inflation
o Domestic currency depreciates if domestic inflation exceeds foreign inflation
Changes to Supply and Demand of Currency
- Domestic households/firms that want foreign goods/services/assets → demand for foreign currency → supply of domestic currency
- Foreign households/firms that want domestic goods/services/assets → demand for domestic currency → supply of foreign currency
- Increase in interest rate → increase demand for domestic currency and reduces supply of domestic currency → appreciation
- Decrease in interest rate → decrease demand for domestic currency and increases supply of domestic currency → depreciation
Fixed Exchange Rates
- Exchange rate undervalued if pegged at less than fundamental → excess demand for currency → central bank sells reserves
- Exchange rate overvalued if pegged at more than fundamental → excess supply of currency → central bank buys reserves
- Central banks can run out of reserves → force peg to be removed
- Unsustainable pegs invite speculative attacks
Policy Trilemma
Central bank can only choose 2 of the 3 goals simultaneously:
o Independent monetary policy (setting interest rates)
o Fixed exchange rate
o Free international capital flows (no capital controls)