Exchange Rates Flashcards
Define exchange rate
The exchange rate is the rate at which one currency trades against another on the foreign exchange market.
What is the REAL exchange rate?
The exchange rate after being adjusted for the effects of inflation
It most accurately reflects the purchasing power of a currency
What is a floating exchange rate?
When the exchange rate of a currency is determined by market forces of supply and demand.
What is a managed floating exchange rate?
When the government may choose to intervene in the FOREX markets to affect the value of a currency to meet macro objectives.
How might a government intervene in a managed floating ex. rate?
- Making changes to foreign currency reserves.
- adjusting the interest rates relative to other countries
What is a fixed exchange rate?
When the government seeks to keep the value of a currency at a certain level compared to other currencies.
What factors influence exchange rates?
Interest Rates - hot money flows
Economic Growth - high growth - appreciation
Inflation - high inflation leads to less competitive exports and reduces currency demand - depreciation
Confidence in currency/economy
Current account deficit / surplus - large deficit - more likely to cause a depreciation
as money is leaving the economy
What may occur from an appreciation in the exchange rate?
Think SPICED
- UK exports will become more expensive abroad - lower demand for £
- Imports into the UK will be cheaper and so rise in the supply of the £
- Appreciation tends to reduce inflation as deterioration of the trade balance lowers AD
- reduced growth - due to reduced demand from exports
What occurs from a depreciating or devalued exchange rate?
- Increase exports
- decreased imports
- increased growth
- also increased inflation
EVALUATION
Elasticity of demand - export rise from an appreciation depends on the elasticity of demand. Inelastic demand will lead to a small increase in Qd and vice versa
Time lag - in the short term, demand for exports is often inelastic but becomes more price elastic over time
Reasons for appre/depreciation - more successful countries see appreciation. Currency appreciates through more demand for their exports.