Exam 2 Flashcards
What is bureaucracy?
An administrative organization responsible for carrying out day-to-day business of government
How many cabinet departments are there?
15
What are the characteristics of bureaucracy?
Coordination issues, competing missions, competition for money/influence/status, competing subcultures, red tape, tensions between bureaucrats and officials appointed by the president
What did the New Deal do for bureaucracy?
Created new economic agencies
How did WWII and CW aid the bureaucracy?
Created new national security agencies
What is the complexity of policymaking cycles for FP issues?
Agenda setting, policy formation, policy implementation
What is the rational actor model?
There us a pyramid of authority, with presidential leadership at the top, leaders are rational and defend the national interest
What is groupthink?
Policymaking happened in small groups, but that group overestimates its morality and competency, leading to outside opinions being shut down
What is the governmental polictics model?
Power is diffuse and there is no dominant actor, so the FP process revolves around competition, leading to bad decisions
Why did Obama announce he would be sending 33,000 more troops to Afghanistan in Dec 2009, but say that the surge would only last 18 months?
Political competition between the military who wanted to prove they couldn’t be defeated and political leaders, who wanted a short surge to get Obama reelected
What is the organizational process model?
Bureaucracy is the independent driving force behind policy
How can the challenger disaster be explained?
The U.S. space program was driven by government bureaucracies and corporate bureaucracies, so strategic pressure, business pressure, downplayed safety issues
How do interbranch politics affect policy?
The constitution is an invitation to struggle, and members of Congress all have different ways to influence policy
What are key determinants of congressional policies?
Pros and cons of policies, electoral concerns, quest for funds, national public opinion, partisanship, policy preferences
What is the budget of the state department?
$55 b
How many employees does the state department have?
75,000
What are the functions of the state department?
- Represent the US government abroad
- Report the views of foreigners to the U.S. government
- Conduct diplomacy and negotiations abroad
- Analyze foreign events
- Provide policy advice to the president
What is diplomacy?
The processes and institutions by which the interests and identities of sovereign states are represented to one another
What are smaller responsibilities of the state department?
Foreign aid and public diplomacy
When was USAID created?
1961
Who is the head of the state department?
The Secretary of State
What is the inside out dilemma the Secretary of State faces?
He must advise the president but also defend the interests of the state department
What are the state department thematic bureaus?
Political affairs, economic growth, energy, and environment, arms control and international security affairs, civilian security, diplomacy, and HR, public diplomacy and public affairs, management
What are the geographic bureaus of the state department?
Africa, East Asia and Pacific, European and Eurasian, Near Eastern, South and Central Asian affairs, Western hemisphere
How many embassies/consulates/diplomatic missions does the U.S. have?
300
What is an ambassador?
Senior U.S. official within the country
How long is the rotation state officials take abroad?
3 year tours
What is the most prestigious bureau?
Europe
How many foreign service members are there?
13,000
What is the subculture of the foreign service like?
Elitist, tight bonds, prefer overseas experience, resistant, no risk taking, think they know better
How has U.S. diplomacy expanded?
Involvement in international organizations, involvement in the domestic politics of other states, involvement in transnational issues, public diplomacy
What are some recent diplomatic successes?
1991: coalition against Iraq
2021: G7 summit in defense of democracy
2022: NATO opposition to Russia
What are the causes of the decline of the state department?
Expansion of FP bureaucracy, budget decline, global communication revolution, unprecedented military dominance
What is military power?
Set of instruments and capabilities which confer the capacity to bring about intended political objectives through the display, threat and use of force
What is the power of the US military?
Greatest in world history but not nearly as effective a fighting force as commonly believed
What is the structure of the DoD?
Office of the secretary of defense, joint chiefs of staff, the services
What is the goal of the office of the secretary of defense?
Ensure civilian control (retired military can become secdef 7 years after retirement)
What are the missions of the joint chiefs of staff?
Coordinate the services and advise the president
What is the mission of the services?
Implement decisions
What are the problems with the services?
Huge size, each service has their own objectives/standards/subcultures, and the services are decentralized
What did the Goldwater nichols act (1986) do?
Increased authority to OSD, JCS, and president
What does the day to day administration of the military do?
Budget, personnel, weapons development and deployment
What is the problem with the advisory process in the military?
Tensions between civilian and military leaders, presidents skeptical of military advice, use of force differences
Why did Truman fire Gen MacArthur in 1951?
Insubordination
What does the operational process of the military include?
6 major regions, and 4 major functional areas
What is the modern U.S. military culture like?
Emphasis on management, quest for new hardware, careerism, separation between politics and combat, concentration of force to defeat the enemy, growing emphasis on jointness
What might problems of information look like in the military?
The bureaucracies are enormous and tend to distort information to advance political interests
What are coordination problems the military may face?
Size, decentralization, specialization, rivalries
What is an example of duplication in the military?
The US has the Air Force, as well as the army Air Force, the naval air arm, and marine air force
What was the military like pre WWII?
Small career military as well as a citizen militia armed forces use abroad 163 times
How was there slow integration of new warfare principles in the 20th century?
Mass mobilization, propaganda, role of the home front, systematic exploitation of technical/scientific inventions, need to coordinate land/sea/air power
How was the military expanded during the Cold War?
There was a large permanent military, Defense in Depth in Eurasia, National Security Act, NATO, rising military budget
What was the US approach to combat?
Concentration of firepower
When was NATO created?
1949
When was the national security act passed?
1947
What were the conclusions of Weinberger-Powell (1984) and Powell (1992) doctrines?
Commitment of US forces only as a last resort, and only under the conditions that it would be vital to US interests, has clearly defined objectives, supported by the people/Congress, use of decisive force, and had a clear exit strategy
What did US military power look like at the end of the Cold War?
$300M a year budget, 1,000 bases/properties in the US, 500,000 troops abroad, 330 major bases abroad
What was the revolution of military affairs?
The emergence of technologies so disruptive that they overtake existing military concepts and capabilities and necessitate a rethinking of how, with what, and by whom war is waged, need to radically reform the US military
What was new COIN?
New counterinsurgency, a popular strategy in 2006-2012 with the goal of turning the tide of the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan
What were the assumptions of new COIN?
The US military needs to win hearts and minds, so they would minimize civilian casualties, promote a legitimate local government, help rebuild local economies, and show cultural awareness
What were the problems of new COIN?
Inherent limitations, hostile reactions within the military, and it did not turn the tide of the war
What was the policy towards the US military under Trump and Biden?
Boosting the budget, downgrading the war on terror, and a return to great power competition (with China and Russia)
What are the causes of American military primacy?
Wealth, accumulation of a huge military budget, tech advancement, quality of personnel, Cold War legacies
What was the DoD budget in 2023?
$858B
What percentage of the world’s military expenditures are the United States?
50%
How many members of the US military are there?
2.1 M
How many military bases does the US have?
800
What are the commons?
Areas that belong to no one state and provide access to much of the globe
How does America have command of the sea commons?
Aircraft carriers and stealthy nuclear attack submarines
How does America have command over the air commons?
Stealth aircraft
How does America have command of the space commons?
Reconnaissance, communications, weapons guidance
What is the infrastructure of command?
Bases, logistical chain, and unified command plan
What are the advantage of the command of the commons?
Mobility to wage war on short notice anywhere, ability to encircle the enemy, unmatched intelligence collection, synergies with allies in various regions
Why must the US avoid the enemy’s homeland and peripheries, even as it has command of the commons?
In those areas, the enemy has a deeper commitment to victory, has support under the local population, knows the local terrain, and can use cheap low-tech to counter the US
What are the purposes of intelligence?
Collecting and analyzing information, counterintelligence, and covert political and paramilitary operations
What is collecting and analyzing information in intelligence?
The primary purpose of intelligence to help leaders make better decisions
What are the most common methods of collecting and analyzing intelligence information?
Human sources, electronic signals, photography, open sources
What is counterintelligence?
Preventing foreign espionage, subversion, sabotage
What is the purpose of covert political and paramilitary operations?
Destabilizing enemy regimes
What are the concerns about covert operations?
Low cost, but ethically dubious and could backfire
What might be the problem with signal intelligence?
Too many signals and a lack of context
What might be the problems with human intelligence?
Putting people’s lives at risk and ask foreigners to betray their country
What might happen with foreign intelligence partnerships?
Foreign services know the language and terrain, but there’s a risk of misunderstanding, manipulation, and interception
What are the key problems affecting collection and analysis of intel?
Lack of presidential attention, insufficient inter-agency coordination, signal to noise problem, and politicization of intellegence
What is an example of a president’s lack of attention?
In January 2001, a memo from the US counterterrorism chief said they needed to review Al Qaeda, but the first meeting would not take place until September 4, 2001
What is an example of insufficient interagency coordination?
The FBI and the CIA did not share information before 9/11
What is the signal to noise problem?
Indications of an attack are collected, but they are a drop in an ocean of information, so it takes time to isolate relevant information
How has intelligence been politicized?
Political leaders cherry pick intel insights to build a specific narrative and political leaders press intelligence to write reports that suit their goals
What are examples of politicization of intelligence?
Mid 60s: White House forced the CIA to build a specific narrative around Vietnam
2001-2003: White House pressures to exaggerate Iraq’s nuclear ambitions
What are the DoD intelligence agencies?
National Security Agency (NSA), National Reconnaissance Office (NRO), National Geospatial Intelligence Agency (NGA), Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA)
How much of ever dollar spent on intelligence goes toward DoD intelligence?
80%
What does the NSA do?
Collection of SIGINT
What does the NRO and NGA do?
Coordinate spy planes, satellites, etc
What does the DIA do?
Better coordinate DoD intelligence to influence civilian leaders better
What are the non-DoD intelligence organizations?
State Department bureau of intelligence and research, FBI, Intel units in the Department of treasury
What does the state department bureau of intelligence and research do?
Analysis
What is the goal of the FBI?
Counterintelligence at home
What do intel units in the Department of Treasury do?
Protect the US financial system from illicit use
When was the CIA created?
1947
What are the operations of the CIA?
Espionage, counter intelligence abroad, covert operations
When was the Office of the Director of National Intelligence created?
In 2004, as response to 9/11
What does the National Intelligence Council do?
Coordinate intelligence activities across the US government, disseminate intelligence, produce national intelligence estimates that summarize the whole intel community’s take on a topic
When was the Department of Homeland Security created?
2004
What is the goal of the Department of Homeland Security?
Prevent another 9/11
What was intelligence like in the first century of America?
Limited resources and no interest outside of times of war
When was the first permanent intelligence service created?
1882, office of naval intelligence
What expansion did intelligence take during WWII?
Broke Japan’s communications codes, Office of Strategic Services created (1942) to sabotage/propaganda/espionage behind enemy lines, global intelligence network
Why was there dramatic expansion of intelligence during the Cold War?
To spy on the Soviets and the failure to keep the Manhattan Project secret
Why was there a growing reliance on SIGINT and PHOTINT during the Cold War?
Failure to gather HUMINT
When was the NSA created?
1952
When was the U2 spy plane created?
1956
When was the Corona Satellite launched?
1959
When was the five eyes established?
1946
What are the five eyes states?
US, UK, Canada, Australia, New Zealand
What was the five eyes?
A group of countries with deep political and cultural affinities, very secret, with a global reach sharing intellegence
What happened in the 70s that caused the backlash towards intelligence?
Congressional investigations on secret intel activities, leading to declining budgets and legislative constraints
Why was there a revival of intelligence in the 80s?
When the Soviets invaded Afghanistan, the CIA had covert operations to support Islamic holy warriors
Where did the CIA have operations in the 80s with the anticommunist buildup?
Central America, Angola, Libya, Ethiopia, Iran
Why was there a post-9/11 revival of intelligence?
There was a need for arabic speakers and a huge budget increase
What are some of the controversies of intelligence post-9/11?
CIA run prisons, torture, domestic surveillance, drone strikes
How many intelligence reports on terrorism are produced per year?
50,000
What happened in the NSA Surveillance Scandal (2013)?
Edward Snowden, a former CIA contractor, leaked documents which showed US/UK efforts to tap into fiber optic cables worldwide, monitor 35 leaders, and spy on 38 consulates
What was the intelligence crisis under Trump?
Trump presented intelligence agencies as the deep state and ignored intelligence meetings and reports
What was the budget for intelligence in 2022?
$66B + $24B for special military intel programs
What are the current priorities of intelligence?
“Over-the-horizon” counter terrorism (special ops/drones) and intensified great power competition
Why does the intelligence system need reforms?
Many agencies leads to paralysis and conflict, rigid intelligence culture, talent gap, new technological challenges, great power competition
How many intelligence agencies are there?
18
What challenges does intelligence face in the wake of the Internet Age?
How to maintain secrecy and can private corporations be trusted
How has intelligence benefitted from the Internet Age?
There are more ways to hurt the enemy, and, during the Ukraine War, cellphone cameras and social media led the US to win the battle of the narratives and assist/train Ukraine
What are cyber threats?
Efforts to attack, compromise, destroy, disrupt, or exploit activities involving computer networks, software, and hardware/infrastructure
What is an example of a cyber threat?
Possible hacking of nuclear systems, transmitting false launch orders or sabotaging/destroying nuclear assets
What is the challenge with artificial intelligence?
Enemies will create increasingly sophisticated deep fakes, that will become indistinguishable from reality
What has happened to Chinese intelligence under Xi Jinping?
They have had growing resources and power, with 260 intel satellites (2x compared to 2018) and 50,000-100,000 cyber troops
How has China’s counterintelligence changed recently?
It is increasingly effective, with more arrests and executions of CIA assets and growing surveillance