Exam Flashcards
Epidemiology definition
The study of diseases
-science of epidemics
-science of illness
-science of distribution of disease
Historical figures in epidemiology
John Grunt- bills of mortality
James Lind- scurvy
Pierre Charles-Alexandre Louis- inflammation of organs
John Snow- link between cholera and water supply
Doll and Hill- tobacco
Descriptive statistics
Focused on population rather than individuals
-quantitatively describes or summarizes features from a collection of information
Descriptive study
Describes characteristics of a population or phenomenon being studied. It does not answer questions about how/when/why the characteristics occurred.
Simple description of health status of a community
No link between cause and effect
First step in examining patterns of disease
Health definition
a state of complete physical, mental and social well-being and not merely the absence of disease and infirmity
Disease definition
a pathological process causing illness
Illness definition
feeling or experience of unhealth which is entirely personal
Prevalence
Frequency of existing cases, the number of people in a population who currently have a particular outcome
=number of people with the disease at a specified time / number of people in the population who could get the disease (at risk) at the time
Point prevalence
cases existing at a certain point in time (generally a day)
Period prevalence
cases existing over a specified period of time (week, month, year)
Incidence
Frequency of new cases over a period of time (rate)
=number of new events in a specified period / number of persons exposed to risk during this period
Risk/cumulative incidence
probability that an individual will develop an outcome over a specified period of time
=number of people who get a disease during a specified period / number of people free of the disease in the population at risk at the beginning of the period
Crude rate
rates that apply to the entire population (rate of spread)
Specific rate
rates that apply to those within a population with certain characteristics (rate of spread)
Case fatality (%)
=number of deaths from diagnosed cases in a given period / number of diagnosed cases of the disease in the same period *100
Impairment
any loss or abnormality of psychological, physiological or anatomical structure or function
Disability
any restriction or lack (resulting from an impairment) of ability to
perform an activity in the manner or within the range considered
normal for a human being
Handicap
a disadvantage for a given individual, resulting from an impairment or a disability, that limits or prevents the fulfilment of a role that is normal (depending on age, sex, and social and cultural factors) for that individual.
Years of life lost due to death (YLL)
Takes into account the age at which deaths occur by giving greater weight to deaths at younger age and lower weight to deaths at older age
Years of life lost due to disability (YLD)
Takes into account the number of healthy years lost due to living with a disability or with the symptoms of disease
Disability adjusted life year (DALY)
A year of healthy life lost, either through premature death or equivalently through living with disability due to illness or injury.
=YLL + YLD = DALY
Quality adjusted life years (QALY)
Measures the quality and quantity of life lived and is based on the
number of years of life that is added by an intervention/treatment
Validity
If the study is repeated in another setting with same population = same results
Systematic error
an expression of the degree to which a measurement actually measures what it claims to measure
– Conformity
– Correctness
– Accuracy
Reliability
If the study is repeated under same conditions with same population = same results
Random error
The degree of stability exhibited when a
measurement is repeated under identical conditions
– Consistency
– Repeatability
– Precision
– Reducibility
Probability sampling
Random and not based on choice of researchers
- Simple random
– Stratified
– Systematic
– Cluster
Non-probability sampling
Researchers pick
– Convenience
– Snowball
– Purposive
Volunteer bias
People volunteer to participate in the study
– One sample of the target population is more likely to be included/excluded than others
– Self-selection or study inclusion/exclusion
Participants in screening programs tend to be healthier than those who don’t volunteer or comply
Impact on disease specific and overall mortality
Healthy volunteer effect
Example of self-selection whereby
outcome, over time, directly affects the
exposure
More healthy people may be found in
potentially hazardous environments
Selection bias
Systematic difference between those in the study /
intervention / exposure and those not
Overcome by;
– Randomisation
– Transparent selection process
Allocation bias
Process of allocating participants to groups is compromised
Overcome by;
– Randomisation
– Concealment of the
randomisation process
Performance bias
Once allocated, occurs when any
differences in outcomes may be
attributed to the ‘intervention’ or
exposure
– Guards against ‘placebo’ effect
– Provides ‘natural’ prognosis
Overcome by;
– Blinding
Hawthorne effect
Participants perform/behave differently due to being involved in the study (they know they are being observed)
Placebo effect
Responses (positive/negative) to the perceived intervention
Attrition bias
Attrition rate, or drop-outs, within a study
Important to identify reasons for withdrawals due to;
– Missing data
– Adverse events
– Motivation
– Other…
Overcome by;
– Intention-to-treat analysis
CONSORT statement
CONSORT encompasses various initiatives developed by the CONSORT Group to alleviate the problems arising from inadequate reporting of randomized controlled trials
(complete and transparent reporting)
Detection bias
Also known as ascertainment bias
-An investigator may distort or
misclassify the outcome measured
if participant group is known
Overcome by;
– Blinding
Measuring / information bias
Errors in measuring outcomes that lead to misclassification
Non-differential vs differential misclassification
Non-differential misclassification
When measurement error and misclassification occurs equally
in all groups being compared
Due to;
– Random error
– Instrument bias
Results in dilution of ‘true’ effect
Differential misclassification
Measurement error and misclassification occurs to a greater
extent in one group over others
Due to systematic error
Examples include;
– Recall bias
– Response bias
– Interviewer / observer bias
Recall bias
Differences in accuracy or recollections of events/exposures from participants
Bias is unintentional and
often based on expectation
– MMR vaccination and autism
Response bias
Often occurs in patient self-reported data
Bias is intentional
– Portraying oneself in good light
– Lack of understanding
Interviewer / observer bias
Recording of information in different ways between interviewers / observers
Corrected by;
– Standardised questions
– Inter-observer / inter-rater
reliability
Will Rogers phenomenon
‘When the Okies left Oklahoma and moved to California, they raised the average intelligence level in both states.’
1. Individuals who are misclassified (Okies) who are
moving, are below average for the current
context (Oklahoma)
2. Individuals who are misclassified (Okies) are
above the average for the context that they enter
(California)
Confounding bias
Occurs when the effect of the study factor on the outcome is mixed in the data with the effect on another (third variable, or
confounder)
Overcome by stratification
Publication bias
Only studies which show a certain result are published
Case report / series
Detailed report by one or more health professionals on the profile of a single patient
Case series is a report on a series of patients with an outcome
of interest
-Strengths: Hypothesis generating, quick, cheap
-Limitations: Generalisability, bias
Ecological study
Also known as correlational studies
Units of analysis are groups, rather than individuals
Compares disease frequencies between;
– Different populations during the same period of time, or
– Same population at different time periods
Strengths: Fast, easy, cheap
Limitations: Bias, association only, possible misclassification
Cross-sectional study
Exposure and outcome determined simultaneously
Cross-sectional studies measure;
– Prevalence of disease
– Presence/absence of exposure
Disease and exposure can be assessed at the same point in
time in a cross-sectional study
Strengths: Estimate prevalence of outcome, identifies association
Limitations: Can’t generate cause and effect, only offers a snap-shot
Case-control study
Compares the occurrence of possible cause in ‘cases’ and
‘controls’
Data is collected at one point in time
Exposures are collected at a previous point in time
Case-control studies are retrospective as the investigator is
looking backward from disease to possible cause
Strengths: Good for rare outcomes & long diseases, quick, cheap
Limitations: Bias
Cohort study
Involves follow-up of people with a common characteristic
The incidence of an outcome is compared between those
exposed and those not exposed to a risk factor during the
study time
Strengths: Identifies natural history, temporal sequence
Limitations: Loss to follow up, expensive, time consuming
Retrospective cohort: Participants identified on the basis of previously recorded exposure
Randomised controlled trial
An RCT is an experimental comparative study in which
participants are allocated to treatment/intervention or
control/placebo groups using a random mechanism
Participants have an equal chance of being allocated to an
intervention or control group
Strengths: Reduced risk of bias, cause and effect
Limitations: Expensive, follow up duration, ethics
Cross-over RCT
Participants receive a series of treatments
Participants are then ‘crossed-over’ to receive the alternate
treatment
Strengths: Patients serve as own control, sample size
Limitations: Feasibility, ethics, order of events?
Cluster RCT
Clusters rather than individuals are randomized
– Geography
– Communities
– Social
– Educational
– Occupational
Component cause
– A variety of separate requirements contributing to the cause
Obesity, insulin resistance, hypertension, low LDL cholesterol, high triglycerides
Sufficient cause
– When all components are part of the one sufficient cause that will lead to the effect
Metabolic syndrome
Necessary cause
– When an outcome can’t develop in its absence
Environmental, biological, social determinants of health
– e.g. breast cancer and BRCA gene
Bradford Hill criteria for determining a causal relationship
Temporal relation (this is necessary)
Plausibility
Consistency
Strength
Does-response relationship
Reversibility
Study design
Judging the evidence
Temporal relationship
The cause must precede the
effect
Sometimes difficult to
demonstrate with casecontrol and cross-sectional
studies
– Patients with stomach cancer
have low levels of Vitamin C…