Exam 1 - Sept 20 Flashcards
What are the four steps of the experimental process?
Formulate Theory → Collect Data → Summarize Results → Interpret Results and Make Decisions
Variable
An observed category (label) or quantity (number) in an experiment that may “vary” for different individuals
Categorical variable
Individuals are classified into groups or categories
Quantitative variable
A numerical quantity
Explanatory variable
Variable that is thought to affect (“explain”) another variable
Response Variable
Variable that is thought to be affected by (“respond to”) the explanatory variable(s)
Inference
A conclusion that patterns from data can be extended to some broader context
Statistical Inference
Justified by a probability model linking the data to the broader context; Incorporates measure of uncertainty
Causal Inference
Enables us to establish a cause and effect relationship
Population Inference
About population characteristics, Expand results from study to larger population
Describe the probability model of randomization. What kind of inferences can be made when it is used?
Assigning experimental units (subjects) to treatment groups using a chance mechanism
Causal inference
Describe the probability model of random sampling. What kind of inferences can be made when it is used?
Selecting experimental units (subjects) to be in a sample using a chance mechanism
Population inference
Anecdotal Evidence
A short story or example of an interesting event that could lead to scientific investigation, but does not establish a scientific theory
Observational Study
A study in which the group status (e.g., gender) is beyond the control of the researcher; results may be due to confounding variables
Randomized Experiments
An experiment in which randomization is done to assign subjects to groups; accounts for confounding variables
Main Lesson for Causal Inferences
causal inferences can be made from randomized experiments, but not observational studies
Confounding Variables
variables that are related to both the group membership and the outcome
Main Lesson for Population Inferences
population inferences can only be made from samples which utilize random sampling
Population
A well-defined collection of objects that we are interested in drawing conclusions about
Sample
A subset of objects from the population
Describe the two types of random sampling
Simple Random Sample (SRS) → All individuals have an equal chance of being selected
Stratified Random Sample → Individuals selected within groups
Self-selection
sampling using volunteers
Convenience sampling
more common but allows for a higher probability of bias
Control Groups
Gives a baseline for comparison with test groups
Placebo Effect
Individuals may respond favorably even when given a treatment that is known to be ineffective, opposite is nocebo effect
Blinding
The treatment assignment is kept secret from the experimental subject
Double Blinding
The treatment assignment is kept secret from both the experimental subject and the individuals measuring the response
Sampling Error
Discrepancy between the sample and population
Nonresponse bias
Not everyone who is asked to participate agrees to do so, and nonresponders differ from responders
What are some ways to display categorical variables in graphic form?
Bar plots and pie charts
Give a general description of a histogram
The range of observations is divided into subintervals (usually of equal size)
The frequency of observations is plotted as a bar on the y-axis
What three aspects of the data are shown by histograms?
Center, Outliers, and General Shape