Exam 1: Patterns of Disease Flashcards
What is an epidemic?
An increased or unexpected occurrence of cases
Epizootic
What is an endemic?
A normal or expected number of cases in time and space
Enzootic
What is a pandemic?
Epidemic over a large area
What is an epidemic curve?
Visual display of disease occurrence in time
What are the 2 basic types of epidemics?
Common source
Propagated
What does a common-source epidemic result from?
Exposure to a common source
What is it called if the exposure is sudden and brief?
Point (or point-source) epidemic
What is it called if the exposure period is prolonged?
Extended common source epidemic
What does a propagating epidemic result from?
Animal to animal transmission
Is the initial slope of the epidemic curve steeper when the animal density is lower or higher? What in the R0 model influences this?
Higher
Probability of transmission per contact
Is the initial slope of the epidemic curve steeper when the infectious period is shorter or longer? What in the R0 model influences this?
Longer
Probability of transmission per contact and duration of infectiousness
Is the initial slope of the epidemic curve steeper when animal numbers increase or decrease?
Increase
What causes short term trends?
Epidemics
What causes cyclical trends?
Periodic changes in susceptible host population
Periodic changes in effective contact
Seasonal trends
What causes secular or long term trends?
Long term interaction of host and agent
What are potential uses of epidemic curves?
Characterize the source of an epidemic
Assess relative transmission
Determine the mode of transmission
Determine a seasonal pattern
Possibly assess control measures were effective
Prospectively predict what effect interventions will have
What is the dissemination rate?
Propensity of infection to spread to other herds
The average number of uninfected herds to which an infectious agent is delivered by each infected herd
What does dissemination rate depend on?
Epidemiologic Triad:
Host
Environment (animal movements, behavior of owner, disease control strategies)
Agent
If an epidemic were initiated, how would increasing the herd size affect the slope of the epidemic curve?
The slope would become steeper/increase because there are more susceptibles
If an epidemic were initiated, how would the herdsman starting to use “mob grazing” affect the slope of the epidemic curve?
Mob grazing is putting a large group of animals on a small area and moving them around
It maximizes production per acre
The epidemic curve would get steeper because you have more incidence for transmission
If an epidemic were initiated, how would leaving the herd size the same, but adding replacements from a high health herd affect the slope of the epidemic curve?
The slope would be flatter or steeper
You could argue this either way
Animals from a high health herd are more naïve and you could be exposed to a greater epidemic
Introducing high health animals reduce the chances of starting epidemic
If an epidemic starts in the herd and you have these animals, the epidemic could be greater