Exam 1 Flashcards

1
Q

Forests can have simultaneous outputs. What does this mean?

A

Monetary - wood products, leases, huntin/fishing/use fees, etc.

Non-monetary - scenery, water quality, flood control, non-game wildlife, carbon sequestration, etc.

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2
Q

What is a simple definition of economics?

A

How to allocate scarce resources to produce maximum satisfaction

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3
Q

Why is succession considered an economic process?

A

Everything on the land eventually becomes scarce over time.

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4
Q

Define marginals and give an example

A

The output from the last unit of input.

Example:

Hire 1 person to plant trees, he can plant 2500/day. Hire a 2nd person to plant trees, now your total is 5000/day. The marginal output of person #2 is 2500 trees per day. Hire a 3rd person to haul trees from the truck to the planters so the planters don’t waste time re-supplying, and increase total rate to 6000 trees per day. The marginal output of person #3 is 1000 trees per day.

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5
Q

Explain marginal utility and diminishing marginal utility

A

Utility is an economic term used to represent satisfaction or happiness.

The Law Of Diminishing Marginal Utility states that, all else equal, as consumption increases, the marginal utility derived from each additional unit declines. Marginal utility is derived as the change in utility as an additional unit is consumed.

Ex:

Consider the carrying capacity of the land. You can only add so many inputs to any system before outputs start to decline. Athletic training is another example - the body will eventually start to break down if you overtrain it.

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6
Q

Describe the equi-marginal principle

A

In general terms – You will maximize the total benefit from using any limited input if you allocate it so that the last unit of input in each activity brings the same added benefit

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7
Q

Explain these charts

Qd = quantity demand

Qs = quantity supply

P1/P2 = set price in example

Pe = market price

A

Suppliers must price their goods at market price if they wish to sell them. Price it too low, and the supply will not keep up with the demand (shortage). Price it too high, and you will end up with a surplus of goods that will remain unsold until the price is adjust to match the market. Prices will always adjust to balance the demand.

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8
Q

Define stumpage

A

The price of a standing tree

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9
Q

What’s the difference between and commodity and a product?

A

Commodity - indistinguishable from any other similar product on the market. Who makes it or where it comes from does not matter. Ex: No. 1 red oak lumber dried to 6% M.C.

Product - who made it and where it comes from does matter. Ex: timber frame house

Commodities get sold at market price. Products are sold using the cost-plus pricing model, there really is no market price per se.

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10
Q

Define residual

A

What is left over after other things have been subtracted and allowed for

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11
Q

In calculating the flow of money for forest products, who gets paid last in the calculation? Why?

A

The landowner

The value of lumber is fixed by the market. The upper limit of stumpage (what the landowner is paid for standing trees) is the upper limit of the log price (what the sawmill pays the logger) minus logging costs (what it costs to get the tree out of the woods and to the market).

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12
Q

What 3 conditions create the highest stumpage values for the landowner?

A

Fully stocked stands

Well managed for high quality trees

Easier access and closer proximity to the sawmill

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13
Q

What are some examples of things that can cause foreign exchange rates to change?

A

Inflation

Interest rates

Balance of trade

Political stability

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14
Q

How are prices of goods affected if our currency has a high value relative to other countries?

A

Our exports are expensive, their goods (imported to us) are cheaper

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15
Q

How are prices of goods affected if our currency has a low value relative to other countries?

A

Our exports are cheaper, their goods (imported to us) are more expensive

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16
Q

What is inflation

A

A general increase in prices over time.

17
Q

What are the 2 major drivers/types of inflation?

A

Demand-pull inflation: too many people trying to buy too few goods; too much gov’t spending; buying frenzies; influx of money supply (low interest rates, printing more money)

Cost-push inflation: Wages are greater than productivitiy; rise in key component of production (such as oil)

18
Q

What is consumer price index?

A

An index that tracks changes in prices over time (i.e. xx in 1984 dollars would be yy in 2021 dollars)

19
Q

How do you calculate annual inflation? What about average annual inflation over a longer time period?

A
20
Q

How do you calculate the appropriate price adjustment to match inflation?

A

(Price in year X / CPI for year X) x 100

21
Q

Define the time value of money and give some examples of factors that affect time value

A

Time value is the value of not having something now (such as the money you invest in something)

factors: current needs, needs changing over time, availability of resource, risk and uncertainty about the future

22
Q

What is meant by “time preference” with regards to the time value of money? What factors might affect this?

A

How willing are you to wait for your payout?

Factors: current income, current and expected needs, education, maturity, age

Organizational factors: Depending on values/goals, corporations might take a longer view, or operate from quarter to quarter until no longer profitable. Government will almost always take a very long view on time value.

23
Q

What are some components that make up “i” value, or the costs being covered by the increased rate of return on an investment?

A

compensation for inflation, opportunity cost, and risk

24
Q

What factors might affect the overall rate of return on an investment?

A

payment period (ex: 15 vs 30yr mortgage)

assurance of repayment (ex: reliability of borrower or credit score)

the asset itself (ex: a house is more likely to recoup the value of a loan than a car is)

pure interest rate (the Fed)

25
Q

Why is it usefule to calculate the “i” value of a forestry project?

A

We have options with our money. We can put it into the project, put it into something else, spend it, or invest it in some other way. The “i” value is what we hope for our forestry project to earn. Ex: are the trees growing in value at “i” percent? This financial analysis tells us know where we stand, but doesn’t necessarily make the decsion for us, since other factors may add satisfaction other than money (beauty, biodiversity, etc.).

26
Q

How do you calculate the value of an investment at the end of the year with interest?

A

principle x (1 + i)

27
Q

How do you calculate compound interest on an investment over n years?

A

Vn = V0(1 + i)n

Vn - value “n” years in the future

V0 - value today

n - years compounded

i - interest rate

28
Q

What is net present value and how do you calculate it?

A

NPV - Today’s value of future payments

V0 = Vn / (1 + i)n

Vn - value “n” years in the future

V0 - value today

n - years compounded

i - interest rate

29
Q

What is the earnings rate equation and what can we use it for?

A

Given our cash flows over time and our ultimate payoff or value, it can tell us at what percent our investment grew over time.

Also, given the CPI change over a given number of years, we can use it to calculate the annual rate of inflation over that time.

30
Q

What’s the difference between real and nominal dollars?

A

Real dollars are adjusted for inflation, nominal dollars are not.

31
Q

Explain how you’d build an “i” value, and why you would do this

A

We could use this to figure out how much we need our investment to grow in order to cover our costs, risk, and inflation.

32
Q

What is the formula to find the present value of an annual series and what is it for?

A

Used to find NPV when there is a repeated cash flow annually over the investment period.

33
Q

What does the annual series discount formula do functionally?

A

It discounts everything back to 1 payment period before the first payment