Evidence: Flashcards
What is diagnostic intuition?
- having a feeling that someone has an illness.
is a pothole evidence?
- it is evidence because the road was altered but the question is evidence of what?
- there is no evidence unless we have a hypothesis or evidence from something.
- could be evidence that people arent paying their taxes, climate change, corrupt government,
What is missing in the Canadian amulet example?
- the number of people who haven’t been attacked either without the amulet.
What are liklihood ratios?
- a number representing the diagnostic usefulness of a test.
how do we calculate likelihood ratios?
- the probability that you’d see some evidence if your hypothesis were true/ probability that you’d see the exact same evidence if your hypothesis were false.
how are likelihood ratios represented?
- they range from 0 to infinity (can never be a negative number).
what does a LR of 1 mean?
it is useless.
what does an LR of greater than 1 mean?
- it increases the probability ( the higher the better).
what does an LR less than 1 mean?
- it decreases the probability (the lower the better).
what does LR+ mean?
- it means the finding was present, not that it necessarily increases the probability.
what does an LR- mean?
- means that the finding was absent, not that it is a negative number and not necessarily that it decreases the probability
Why is it beneficial for clinicians to understand?
- The clinician who understands the evidence can then approach his or her own patients with the confidence and wisdom that would have developed had they personally examined and learned from the thousands of patients reviewed in the studies of this book.
What test if positive would most increase the probability of hyperthyroidism?
Pulse: 90 bpm LR+= 4.4 LR- 0.2
Skin moist and warm LR+= 6.7 LR- 0.7
Enlarged thyroid LR+= 2.3 LR- 0.1
Eyelid retraction LR+= 31.5 LR-= 0.7
Eyelid lag LR+= 17.5 LR-= 0.8
Fine finger tremor LR+=11.4 LR-= 0.3
Wayne Index
<11 0.04
11-19 points= NS
20 points 18.2
eyelid retraction.
What test if negative would most increase the probability of hyperthyroidism?
Pulse: 90 bpm LR+= 4.4 LR- 0.2
Skin moist and warm LR+= 6.7 LR- 0.7
Enlarged thyroid LR+= 2.3 LR- 0.1
Eyelid retraction LR+= 31.5 LR-= 0.7
Eyelid lag LR+= 17.5 LR-= 0.8
Fine finger tremor LR+=11.4 LR-= 0.3
Wayne Index
<11 0.04
11-19 points= NS
20 points 18.2
enlarged thyroid.
What test would most decrease the probability of hyperthyroidism?
Pulse: 90 bpm LR+= 4.4 LR- 0.2
Skin moist and warm LR+= 6.7 LR- 0.7
Enlarged thyroid LR+= 2.3 LR- 0.1
Eyelid retraction LR+= 31.5 LR-= 0.7
Eyelid lag LR+= 17.5 LR-= 0.8
Fine finger tremor LR+=11.4 LR-= 0.3
Wayne Index
<11 0.04
11-19 points= NS
20 points 18.2
less than 11 points on the Wayne index.
What could go wrong when using multiple likelihood ratios?
- overestimations.
- main concern, is double counting evidence.
- can not apply both charts with the same condition.
- this will give you an extreme estimate.
- For example eyelid retraction and eyelid lag, Dwayne index may also include some of these.
Why is it important to be aware of double counting?
- some findings are closely correlated or even included in other findings.
- e.g. increased patellar reflex and increased ankle jerk reflex.
- e.g. 4/5 findings on ABCDE score for melanoma and irregular borders for leison.
what do we have to avoid when looking at likelihood ratios?
- avoid using more than one of the correlated findings.
- knowledge of physiology will help with this, otherwise, your probability estimate will be too extreme.