everything Flashcards
working class support for thatcher in 1979
11% C2 and 9% DE
economic context of the 1979 election
winter of discontent - strikes
media headline about the winter of discontent
‘labour isn’t working’
turnout and result of 1979 election
76% turnout, with Thatcher winning 43% vote.
context of the 1979 election
following vote of no confidence of callaghan
1997 turnout and result
71.4% turnout, Blair won 179 majority.
LibDems established as 3rd force.
Conservatives biggest loss since 1832, with 30.7% vote.
why do old people vote conservative?
More likely to be homeowners, so conservative policy benefits them the most.
why do yutes/educated people vote labour?
more likely to be renters or in education, so labour policy suits them best.
age voting evidence in 2019
2019 - 22% of 18-24 voted for Conservatives, compared to more than 60% of 60+.
turnout in 2019 in regards to age
turnout of 65+ voters compared to 18-24 was 25 percentage points higher.
was region a good indicator of voting behaviour in 1997?
no.
Blair got middle class seats from very conservative areas in the south east / east midlands
was region a good indicator of voting behaviour in 2019?
no.
Conservatives broke parts of the red wall.
SNP replaced Labour in Scotland from 2007
very good.
evidence that class is an getting worse as a voting intention indicator.
42% managerial category voted Conservative in 2019, compared to 78% in 1964.
34% semiskilled / unskilled / unemployed category voted Labour in 2019, compared to 64% in 1964.
what did blue collar workers think about labour in 2019?
that labour was not interested in protecting their interests in the context of Brexit and globalisation.
what is the link between education and voting behaviour?
People with fewer qualifications are more likely to vote for the Conservative party.
How was education a voting indicator in the 2016 Brexit referendum?
75% of people who’s highest qualification is GCSE voted to leave.
75% of people with one degree or more voted to remain.
how was education a good indicator of voting behaviour in the 2019 election?
43% of people with a degree or higher voted Labour, whilst 58% of people with GCSE or less voted for Conservatives.
was ethnicity a good indicator of voting intention in the 2019 election?
yes.
64% BME voters voted for Labour vs 20% for Conservatives.
but they also have lower turnout than white voters so in addition to making up less of the UK population, they don’t have a significant impact on the outcome of elections.
what is the relationship between valence and social factors?
as social factors become less important, valence factors become more important.
2019 general election turnout
67%
how many seats did SNP win in 2019?
48/59, replacing the two major parties.